globalchange  > 气候变化与战略
DOI: 10.5194/hess-22-3213-2018
论文题名:
A risk assessment methodology to evaluate the risk failure of managed aquifer recharge in the Mediterranean Basin
作者: Rodríguez-Escales P.; Canelles A.; Sanchez-Vila X.; Folch A.; Kurtzman D.; Rossetto R.; Fernández-Escalante E.; Lobo-Ferreira J.-P.; Sapiano M.; San-Sebastián J.; Schüth C.
刊名: Hydrology and Earth System Sciences
ISSN: 1027-5606
出版年: 2018
卷: 22, 期:6
起始页码: 3213
结束页码: 3227
语种: 英语
Scopus关键词: Aquifers ; Recharging (underground waters) ; Water quality ; Managed aquifer recharges ; Mediterranean basin ; Operation phase ; Probabilistic Risk Assessment ; Risk assessment methodologies ; Risk of failure ; Technical aspects ; Water availability ; Risk assessment ; aquifer ; failure analysis ; methodology ; recharge ; risk assessment ; risk perception ; Israel ; Italy ; Malta [Southern Europe] ; Mediterranean Region ; Portugal ; Spain
英文摘要: Managed aquifer recharge (MAR) can be affected by many risks. Those risks are related to different technical and non-technical aspects of recharge, like water availability, water quality, legislation, social issues, etc. Many other works have acknowledged risks of this nature theoretically; however, their quantification and definition has not been developed. In this study, the risk definition and quantification has been performed by means of q fault trees and probabilistic risk assessment (PRA). We defined a fault tree with 65 basic events applicable to the operation phase. After that, we have applied this methodology to six different managed aquifer recharge sites located in the Mediterranean Basin (Portugal, Spain, Italy, Malta, and Israel). The probabilities of the basic events were defined by expert criteria, based on the knowledge of the different managers of the facilities. From that, we conclude that in all sites, the perception of the expert criteria of the non-technical aspects were as much or even more important than the technical aspects. Regarding the risk results, we observe that the total risk in three of the six sites was equal to or above 0.90. That would mean that the MAR facilities have a risk of failure equal to or higher than 90ĝ€% in the period of 2-6 years. The other three sites presented lower risks (75, 29, and 18 % for Malta, Menashe, and Serchio, respectively). © 2018 Author(s).
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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/163289
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作者单位: Rodríguez-Escales, P., Dept. of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya, Barcelona, Spain, Hydrogeology Group (UPC-CSIC), Spain; Canelles, A., Dept. of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya, Barcelona, Spain, Hydrogeology Group (UPC-CSIC), Spain; Sanchez-Vila, X., Dept. of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya, Barcelona, Spain, Hydrogeology Group (UPC-CSIC), Spain; Folch, A., Dept. of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya, Barcelona, Spain, Hydrogeology Group (UPC-CSIC), Spain; Kurtzman, D., Institute of Soil Water and Environmental Sciences, Volcani Center, Agricultural Research Organization, Rishon LeZion, Israel; Rossetto, R., Institute of Life Sciences, Scuola Superiore sant'Anna, Pisa, Italy; Fernández-Escalante, E., Empresa de Transformación Agraria (TRAGSA), RandD Department, Madrid, Spain; Lobo-Ferreira, J.-P., Laboratorio Nacional de Engenharia Civil, Lisbon, Portugal; Sapiano, M., Energy and Water Agency, Luqa, Malta; San-Sebastián, J., Empresa de Transformación Agraria (TRAGSA), RandD Department, Madrid, Spain; Schüth, C., Institute of Applied Geosciences, Technische Universität Darmstadt, Darmstadt, Germany

Recommended Citation:
Rodríguez-Escales P.,Canelles A.,Sanchez-Vila X.,et al. A risk assessment methodology to evaluate the risk failure of managed aquifer recharge in the Mediterranean Basin[J]. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences,2018-01-01,22(6)
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