globalchange  > 气候变化与战略
DOI: 10.1073/pnas.2009003117
论文题名:
Fluctuating optimum and temporally variable selection on breeding date in birds and mammals
作者: de Villemereuil P.; Charmantier A.; Arlt D.; Bize P.; Brekke P.; Brouwer L.; Cockburn A.; Côté S.D.; Stephen Dobson F.; Evans S.R.; Festa-Bianchet M.; Gamelon M.; Hamel S.; Hegelbach J.; Jerstad K.; Kempenaers B.; Kruuk L.E.B.; Kumpula J.; Kvalnes T.; McAdam A.G.; Eryn McFarlane S.; Morrissey M.B.; Pärt T.; Pemberton J.M.; Qvarnström A.; Røstad O.W.; Schroeder J.; Senar J.C.; Sheldon B.C.; van de Pol M.; Visser M.E.; Wheelwright N.T.; Tufto J.; Chevin L.-M.
刊名: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America
ISSN: 0027-8424
出版年: 2020
卷: 117, 期:50
起始页码: 31969
结束页码: 31978
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Adaptation ; Fitness landscape ; Fluctuating environment ; Meta-analysis ; Phenotypic plasticity
Scopus关键词: adult ; animal experiment ; animal model ; article ; bird ; breeding ; directional selection ; female ; male ; mammal ; nonhuman ; phenotypic plasticity ; wild animal
英文摘要: Temporal variation in natural selection is predicted to strongly impact the evolution and demography of natural populations, with consequences for the rate of adaptation, evolution of plasticity, and extinction risk. Most of the theory underlying these predictions assumes a moving optimum phenotype, with predictions expressed in terms of the temporal variance and autocorrelation of this optimum. However, empirical studies seldom estimate patterns of fluctuations of an optimum phenotype, precluding further progress in connecting theory with observations. To bridge this gap, we assess the evidence for temporal variation in selection on breeding date by modeling a fitness function with a fluctuating optimum, across 39 populations of 21 wild animals, one of the largest compilations of long-term datasets with individual measurements of trait and fitness components. We find compelling evidence for fluctuations in the fitness function, causing temporal variation in the magnitude, but not the direction of selection. However, fluctuations of the optimum phenotype need not directly translate into variation in selection gradients, because their impact can be buffered by partial tracking of the optimum by the mean phenotype. Analyzing individuals that reproduce in consecutive years, we find that plastic changes track movements of the optimum phenotype across years, especially in bird species, reducing temporal variation in directional selection. This suggests that phenological plasticity has evolved to cope with fluctuations in the optimum, despite their currently modest contribution to variation in selection. © 2020 National Academy of Sciences. All rights reserved.
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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/163900
Appears in Collections:气候变化与战略

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作者单位: de Villemereuil, P., Centre d’Écologie Fonctionnelle et Évolutive, CNRS, Université de Montpellier, Université Paul Valéry Montpellier 3, École Pratique des Hautes Études | Paris Science et Lettres, Institut de Recherche pour le Développement, Montpellier, 34000, France, Institut de Systématique, Évolution, Biodiversité, École Pratique des Hautes Études, Paris Sciences et Lettres, Muséum National d’Histoire Naturelle, CNRS, Sorbonne Université, Université des Antilles, Paris, 75005, France; Charmantier, A., Centre d’Écologie Fonctionnelle et Évolutive, CNRS, Université de Montpellier, Université Paul Valéry Montpellier 3, École Pratique des Hautes Études | Paris Science et Lettres, Institut de Recherche pour le Développement, Montpellier, 34000, France; Arlt, D., Department of Ecology, Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences, Uppsala, 75007, Sweden; Bize, P., School of Biological Sciences, University of Aberdeen, Aberdeen, AB24 2TZ, United Kingdom; Brekke, P., Institute of Zoology, Zoological Society of London, London, NW1 4RY, United Kingdom; Brouwer, L., Division of Ecology and Evolution, Research School of Biology, Australian National University, Canberra, ACT 2600, Australia, Department of Animal Ecology, Netherlands Institute of Ecology, Wageningen, 6700 AB, Netherlands, Department of Animal Ecology and Physiology, Institute for Water and Wetland Research, Radboud University, Nijmegen, 6500 GL, Netherlands; Cockburn, A., Division of Ecology and Evolution, Research School of Biology, Australian National University, Canberra, ACT 2600, Australia; Côté, S.D., Département de Biologie and Centre d’Études Nordiques, Université Laval, Québec, QC G1V 0A6, Canada; Stephen Dobson, F., Department of Biological Sciences, Auburn University, Auburn, AL 36849, United States; Evans, S.R., Edward Grey Institute, Department of Zoology, University of Oxford, Oxford, OX1 3PS, United Kingdom, Centre for Ecology and Conservation, University of Exeter, Penryn, TR10 9FE, United Kingdom; Festa-Bianchet, M., Division of Ecology and Evolution, Research School of Biology, Australian National University, Canberra, ACT 2600, Australia, Département de biologie, Université de Sherbrooke, J1K 2R1, Sherbrooke, QC, Canada; Gamelon, M., Centre for Biodiversity Dynamics, Department of Biology, Norwegian University of Science and Technology, Trondheim, 7491, Norway; Hamel, S., Département de Biologie, Université Laval, Québec, QC G1V 0A6, Canada; Hegelbach, J., Institute of Evolutionary Biology and Environmental Studies, University of Zurich, Zurich, CH-8057, Switzerland; Jerstad, K., Jerstad Viltforvaltning, Mandal, 4516, Norway; Kempenaers, B., Department of Behavioural Ecology and Evolutionary Genetics, Max Planck Institute for Ornithology, See wiesen, 82319, Germany; Kruuk, L.E.B., Division of Ecology and Evolution, Research School of Biology, Australian National University, Canberra, ACT 2600, Australia; Kumpula, J., Terrestrial Population Dynamics, Natural Resources Institute Finland, Inari, FIN-999870, Finland; Kvalnes, T., Centre for Biodiversity Dynamics, Department of Biology, Norwegian University of Science and Technology, Trondheim, 7491, Norway; McAdam, A.G., Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of Colorado, Boulder, CO 80309, United States; Eryn McFarlane, S., Department of Ecology and Genetics, Uppsala University, Uppsala, 75236, Sweden, Institute of Evolutionary Biology, School of Biological Sciences, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, EH9 3FL, United Kingdom; Morrissey, M.B., School of Biology, University of St. Andrews, St. Andrews, Fife, KY16 9TH, United Kingdom; Pärt, T., Department of Ecology, Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences, Uppsala, 75007, Sweden; Pemberton, J.M., Institute of Evolutionary Biology, School of Biological Sciences, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, EH9 3FL, United Kingdom; Qvarnström, A., Department of Ecology and Genetics, Uppsala University, Uppsala, 75236, Sweden; Røstad, O.W., Faculty of Environmental Sciences and Natural Resource Management, Norwegian University of Life Sciences, Ås, 1432, Norway; Schroeder, J., Department of Life Sciences, Imperial College London, Berks, SL5 7PY, United Kingdom; Senar, J.C., Behavioural and Evolutionary Ecology Research Unit, Museu de Ciències Naturals de Barcelona, Barcelona, E-08003, Spain; Sheldon, B.C., Edward Grey Institute, Department of Zoology, University of Oxford, Oxford, OX1 3PS, United Kingdom; van de Pol, M., Department of Animal Ecology, Netherlands Institute of Ecology, Wageningen, 6700 AB, Netherlands; Visser, M.E., Department of Animal Ecology, Netherlands Institute of Ecology, Wageningen, 6700 AB, Netherlands; Wheelwright, N.T., Department of Biology, Bowdoin College, Brunswick, ME 04011, United States; Tufto, J., Centre for Biodiversity Dynamics, Department of Mathematics, Norwegian University of Science and Technology, Trondheim, NO-7491, Norway; Chevin, L.-M., Centre d’Écologie Fonctionnelle et Évolutive, CNRS, Université de Montpellier, Université Paul Valéry Montpellier 3, École Pratique des Hautes Études | Paris Science et Lettres, Institut de Recherche pour le Développement, Montpellier, 34000, France

Recommended Citation:
de Villemereuil P.,Charmantier A.,Arlt D.,et al. Fluctuating optimum and temporally variable selection on breeding date in birds and mammals[J]. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America,2020-01-01,117(50)
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