globalchange  > 气候变化与战略
DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1921271117
论文题名:
Health benefits of on-road transportation pollution control programs in China
作者: Wang H.; He X.; Liang X.; Choma E.F.; Liu Y.; Shan L.; Zheng H.; Zhang S.; Nielsen C.P.; Wang S.; Wu Y.; Evans J.S.
刊名: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America
ISSN: 0027-8424
出版年: 2020
卷: 117, 期:41
起始页码: 25370
结束页码: 25377
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Air quality ; China ; Mortality impact ; Scenario analysis ; Traffic pollution control
Scopus关键词: air pollution control ; air quality ; ambient air ; article ; China ; controlled study ; disease simulation ; long term exposure ; mortality ; particulate matter 2.5 ; population health ; public health ; risk assessment ; traffic pollution ; urban area ; air pollutant ; air pollution ; chemistry ; China ; environmental exposure ; environmental monitoring ; exhaust gas ; human ; particulate matter ; prevention and control ; procedures ; traffic and transport ; ozone ; Air Pollutants ; Air Pollution ; China ; Environmental Exposure ; Environmental Monitoring ; Humans ; Ozone ; Particulate Matter ; Risk Assessment ; Transportation ; Vehicle Emissions
英文摘要: China started to implement comprehensive measures to mitigate traffic pollution at the end of 1990s, but the comprehensive effects, especially on ambient air quality and public health, have not yet been systematically evaluated. In this study, we analyze the effects of vehicle emission control measures on ambient air pollution and associated deaths attributable to long-term exposures of fine particulate matter (PM2.5) and O3based on an integrated research framework that combines scenario analysis, air quality modeling, and population health risk assessment. We find that the total impact of these control measures was substantial. Vehicular emissions during 1998-2015 would have been 2-3 times as large as they actually were, had those measures not been implemented. The national population-weighted annual average concentrations of PM2.5and O3in 2015 would have been higher by 11.7 μg/m3and 8.3 parts per billion, respectively, and the number of deaths attributable to 2015 air pollution would have been higher by 510 thousand (95% confidence interval: 360 thousand to 730 thousand) without these controls. Our analysis shows a concentration of mortality impacts in densely populated urban areas, motivating local policymakers to design stringent vehicle emission control policies. The results imply that vehicle emission control will require policy designs that are more multifaceted than traditional controls, primarily represented by the strict emission standards, with careful consideration of the challenges in coordinated mitigation of both PM2.5and O3in different regions, to sustain improvement in air quality and public health given continuing swift growth in China's vehicle population. © 2020 National Academy of Sciences. All rights reserved.
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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/164003
Appears in Collections:气候变化与战略

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作者单位: Wang, H., Joint International Research Laboratory of Atmospheric and Earth System Sciences, School of Atmospheric Sciences, Nanjing University, Nanjing, 210023, China, State Key Laboratory of Pollution Control and Resource Reuse, School of the Environment, Nanjing University, Nanjing, 210023, China; He, X., State Key Laboratory of Pollution Control and Resource Reuse, School of the Environment, Nanjing University, Nanjing, 210023, China; Liang, X., School of Environment and State Key Joint Laboratory of Environment Simulation and Pollution Control, Tsinghua University, Beijing, 100084, China; Choma, E.F., Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Harvard University, Boston, MA 02115, United States, Population Health Sciences, Harvard University, Boston, MA 02115, United States; Liu, Y., State Key Laboratory of Pollution Control and Resource Reuse, School of the Environment, Nanjing University, Nanjing, 210023, China; Shan, L., State Key Laboratory of Pollution Control and Resource Reuse, School of the Environment, Nanjing University, Nanjing, 210023, China; Zheng, H., School of Environment and State Key Joint Laboratory of Environment Simulation and Pollution Control, Tsinghua University, Beijing, 100084, China, Harvard John A. Paulson School of Engineering and Applied Sciences, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA 02138, United States; Zhang, S., School of Environment and State Key Joint Laboratory of Environment Simulation and Pollution Control, Tsinghua University, Beijing, 100084, China; Nielsen, C.P., Harvard John A. Paulson School of Engineering and Applied Sciences, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA 02138, United States; Wang, S., School of Environment and State Key Joint Laboratory of Environment Simulation and Pollution Control, Tsinghua University, Beijing, 100084, China; Wu, Y., School of Environment and State Key Joint Laboratory of Environment Simulation and Pollution Control, Tsinghua University, Beijing, 100084, China; Evans, J.S., Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Harvard University, Boston, MA 02115, United States

Recommended Citation:
Wang H.,He X.,Liang X.,et al. Health benefits of on-road transportation pollution control programs in China[J]. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America,2020-01-01,117(41)
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