DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1910964117
论文题名: Hidden similarities in the dynamics of a weakly synchronous marine metapopulation
作者: Rogers T.L. ; Munch S.B.
刊名: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America
ISSN: 0027-8424
出版年: 2020
卷: 117, 期: 1 起始页码: 479
结束页码: 485
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Callinectes sapidus
; Environmental gradients
; Hierarchical models
; Synchrony
; Time-delay embedding
Scopus关键词: article
; Callinectes sapidus
; embedding
; human
; marine species
; metapopulation
; nonhuman
; quantitative analysis
; seashore
; animal
; Atlantic Ocean
; biological model
; Brachyura
; ecosystem monitoring
; larva
; physiology
; population dynamics
; spatiotemporal analysis
; temperature
; United States
; Animals
; Atlantic Ocean
; Brachyura
; Ecological Parameter Monitoring
; Larva
; Models, Biological
; Population Dynamics
; Spatio-Temporal Analysis
; Temperature
; United States
英文摘要: Populations of many marine species are only weakly synchronous, despite coupling through larval dispersal and exposure to synchronous environmental drivers. Although this is often attributed to observation noise, factors including local environmental differences, spatially variable dynamics, and chaos might also reduce or eliminate metapopulation synchrony. To differentiate spatially variable dynamics from similar dynamics driven by spatially variable environments, we applied hierarchical delay embedding. A unique output of this approach, the “dynamic correlation,” quantifies similarity in intrinsic dynamics of populations, independently of whether their abundance is correlated through time. We applied these methods to 17 populations of blue crab (Callinectes sapidus) along the US Atlantic coast and found that their intrinsic dynamics were broadly similar despite largely independent fluctuations in abundance. The weight of evidence suggests that the latitudinal gradient in temperature, filtered through a unimodal response curve, is sufficient to decouple crab populations. As unimodal thermal performance is ubiquitous in ectotherms, we suggest that this may be a general explanation for the weak synchrony observed at large distances in many marine species, although additional studies are needed to test this hypothesis. © 2020 National Academy of Sciences. All rights reserved.
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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/164374
Appears in Collections: 气候变化与战略
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作者单位: Rogers, T.L., Marine Science Center, Department of Marine and Environmental Sciences, Northeastern University, Nahant, MA 01908, United States, Southwest Fisheries Science Center, National Marine Fisheries Service, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Santa Cruz, CA 95060, United States; Munch, S.B., Southwest Fisheries Science Center, National Marine Fisheries Service, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Santa Cruz, CA 95060, United States
Recommended Citation:
Rogers T.L.,Munch S.B.. Hidden similarities in the dynamics of a weakly synchronous marine metapopulation[J]. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America,2020-01-01,117(1)