globalchange  > 气候变化与战略
DOI: 10.5194/tc-15-1455-2021
论文题名:
Challenges in predicting Greenland supraglacial lake drainages at the regional scale
作者: Poinar K.; C. Andrews L.
刊名: Cryosphere
ISSN: 19940416
出版年: 2021
卷: 15, 期:3
起始页码: 1455
结束页码: 1483
语种: 英语
英文关键词: crevasse ; drainage network ; field method ; flow velocity ; glacial lake ; GPS ; ice flow ; ice sheet ; prediction ; signal-to-noise ratio ; strain rate ; Arctic ; Greenland ; Pakitsoq
英文摘要:

A leading hypothesis for the mechanism of fast supraglacial lake drainages is that transient extensional stresses briefly allow crevassing in otherwise compressional ice flow regimes. Lake water can then hydrofracture a crevasse to the base of the ice sheet, and river inputs can maintain this connection as a moulin. If future ice sheet models are to accurately represent moulins, we must understand their formation processes, timescales, and locations. Here, we use remote-sensing velocity products to constrain the relationship between strain rates and lake drainages across g1/4 1600 km2 in Pakitsoq, western Greenland, between 2002-2019. We find significantly more extensional background strain rates at moulins associated with fast-draining lakes than at slow-draining or non-draining lake moulins. We test whether moulins in more extensional background settings drain their lakes earlier, but we find insignificant correlation. To investigate the frequency at which strain-rate transients are associated with fast lake drainage, we examined Landsat-derived strain rates over 16 and 32 d periods at moulins associated with 240 fast-lake-drainage events over 18 years. A low signal-to-noise ratio, the presence of water, and the multi-week repeat cycle obscured any resolution of the hypothesized transient strain rates. Our results support the hypothesis that transient strain rates drive fast lake drainages. However, the current generation of ice sheet velocity products, even when stacked across hundreds of fast lake drainages, cannot resolve these transients. Thus, observational progress in understanding lake drainage initiation will rely on field-based tools such as GPS networks and photogrammetry.

. © 2021 Copernicus GmbH. All rights reserved.
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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/164782
Appears in Collections:气候变化与战略

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作者单位: Department of Geology and the Research and Education in ENergy, Environment and Water (RENEW) Institute, University at Buffalo, Buffalo, NY, United States; NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Global Modeling and Assimilation Office, Greenbelt, MD, United States

Recommended Citation:
Poinar K.,C. Andrews L.. Challenges in predicting Greenland supraglacial lake drainages at the regional scale[J]. Cryosphere,2021-01-01,15(3)
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