DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2019.111093
论文题名: How to slash greenhouse gas emissions in the freight sector: Policy insights from a technology-adoption model of Canada
作者: Hammond W. ; Axsen J. ; Kjeang E.
刊名: Energy Policy
ISSN: 03014215
出版年: 2020
卷: 137 语种: 英语
中文关键词: Carbon tax
; Climate policy
; Freight
; Goods-movement
; Low carbon fuel standard
; Simulation model
; Zero emission vehicle
; ZEV mandate
英文关键词: Automobiles
; Carbon
; Climate models
; Emission control
; Freight transportation
; Fuels
; Gas emissions
; Trucks
; Carbon taxes
; Climate policy
; Freight
; Goods movement
; Low carbon fuels
; Simulation model
; Zero emission vehicles
; ZEV mandate
; Greenhouse gases
; carbon emission
; computer simulation
; environmental policy
; freight transport
; greenhouse gas
; numerical model
; pollution tax
; technology adoption
; Canada
英文摘要: Freight or goods-movement transportation accounts for 6% of global greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions and 10% of emissions in our case study of Canada – mostly from heavy-duty trucks. Little research has explored the types of policies needed to achieve 2050 GHG mitigation goals in the land freight sector, i.e., 80% reductions from 2005 levels. We use a behaviourally-realistic technology-adoption model (CIMS-Freight) to simulate the GHG impacts of several climate policies, individually and in combinations, on the land freight sector (trucking and rail). Results indicate that current policies in Canada (including standards and carbon pricing) will not achieve GHG reduction targets for this sector – in fact, emissions continue to rise. Further, no individual policy has a high probability of achieving 2030 or 2050 GHG targets, including more stringent versions of the carbon tax, fuel efficiency standards, low-carbon fuel standard (LCFS), or a zero-emissions vehicle (ZEV) mandate for trucks. Finally, we identify several policy combinations that have a high probability of achieving 2050 goals, in particular a stringent ZEV mandate for trucks complemented by a stringent LCFS. While other effective policies and policy combinations are possible, Canada's present and proposed policies are not stringent enough to reach deep GHG targets. © 2019 The Authors Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/167215
Appears in Collections: 气候变化与战略
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作者单位: Sustainable Transportation Action Research Team, Simon Fraser University, 8888 University Dr., Burnaby, B.C V5A 1S6, Canada; School of Mechatronic Systems Engineering, Simon Fraser University, 250-13450 102 Avenue, Surrey, B.C. V3T 0A3, Canada
Recommended Citation:
Hammond W.,Axsen J.,Kjeang E.. How to slash greenhouse gas emissions in the freight sector: Policy insights from a technology-adoption model of Canada[J]. Energy Policy,2020-01-01,137