globalchange  > 气候变化与战略
DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2020.111654
论文题名:
Transition to electric vehicles in China: Implications for private motorization rate and battery market
作者: Hsieh I.-Y.L.; Pan M.S.; Green W.H.
刊名: Energy Policy
ISSN: 03014215
出版年: 2020
卷: 144
语种: 英语
中文关键词: Battery demand ; Battery recycling ; Electric vehicle ; Private car ; Spent battery
英文关键词: Automotive industry ; Cobalt ; Cobalt mines ; Commerce ; Competition ; Electric automobiles ; Electronic Waste ; Lithium-ion batteries ; Recycling ; Sales ; Supply chains ; Battery markets ; Battery recycling ; Circular economy ; Cobalt production ; Private vehicles ; Spent lithium-ion batteries ; Supply shortages ; Transportation sector ; Automotive batteries ; demand-side management ; electric vehicle ; energy market ; energy policy ; energy resource ; energy storage ; private sector ; transportation development ; China
英文摘要: China has recently enacted the dual-credit mandate to replace the existing subsidies as a continued effort to electrify its ground transportation sector. This study quantifies the impacts of such policy transition on private motorization rate and battery market. Throughout the next decade, affordability remains the determinant for vehicle purchases; forcing broader adoption of pricier battery-powered cars without subsidies will inevitably diminish the market growth. Under the mandate, China's electric vehicle sales will continue to grow through 2030 despite the temporary car market contraction. Cumulative private electric vehicle sales are projected to reach 66 million by 2030 (with 37% sales market share); this will drive the battery demand from China's private car sector to expand rapidly and accumulate ~420 GWh (2 million tonnes) of spent lithium-ion batteries. This significant increase in battery demand will exacerbate pressure on the global supply for lithium and cobalt. The cobalt demand from China's private vehicle sector in 2030 alone would be almost half of the total global cobalt production in 2017; up to 16% of this 2030 demand could be satisfied by battery recycling. A recycling-based battery supply chain is needed to alleviate the concerns of supply shortages and to achieve a circular economy. © 2020 Elsevier Ltd
Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/167242
Appears in Collections:气候变化与战略

Files in This Item:

There are no files associated with this item.


作者单位: Department of Chemical Engineering, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA 02139, United States; Department of Materials Science and Engineering, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA 02139, United States

Recommended Citation:
Hsieh I.-Y.L.,Pan M.S.,Green W.H.. Transition to electric vehicles in China: Implications for private motorization rate and battery market[J]. Energy Policy,2020-01-01,144
Service
Recommend this item
Sava as my favorate item
Show this item's statistics
Export Endnote File
Google Scholar
Similar articles in Google Scholar
[Hsieh I.-Y.L.]'s Articles
[Pan M.S.]'s Articles
[Green W.H.]'s Articles
百度学术
Similar articles in Baidu Scholar
[Hsieh I.-Y.L.]'s Articles
[Pan M.S.]'s Articles
[Green W.H.]'s Articles
CSDL cross search
Similar articles in CSDL Cross Search
[Hsieh I.-Y.L.]‘s Articles
[Pan M.S.]‘s Articles
[Green W.H.]‘s Articles
Related Copyright Policies
Null
收藏/分享
所有评论 (0)
暂无评论
 

Items in IR are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.