globalchange  > 气候变化与战略
DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2020.111599
论文题名:
Key findings from the core North American scenarios in the EMF34 intermodel comparison
作者: Huntington H.G.; Bhargava A.; Daniels D.; Weyant J.P.; Avraam C.; Bistline J.; Edmonds J.A.; Giarola S.; Hawkes A.; Hansen M.; Johnston P.; Molar-Cruz A.; Nadew M.; Siddiqui S.; Vaillancourt K.; Victor N.
刊名: Energy Policy
ISSN: 03014215
出版年: 2020
卷: 144
语种: 英语
中文关键词: Data sharing ; Energy market integration ; Energy transitions ; Model comparison
英文关键词: Coal ; Commerce ; Crude oil price ; Energy policy ; Gas industry ; Gases ; Motivation ; Natural gas ; Natural gas well production ; Petroleum industry ; Public policy ; Electric generation ; Energy integration ; Energy markets ; Energy systems ; Natural gas price ; North American ; Oil and natural gas ; Oil and natural gas productions ; Coal industry ; alternative energy ; electricity generation ; energy market ; energy policy ; numerical model ; price dynamics ; scenario analysis ; Canada ; Mexico [North America] ; United States
英文摘要: Within Canada, Mexico or the United States, policy-making organizations are evaluating energy markets and energy trade within their own borders often by ignoring how these countries’ energy systems are integrated with each other. These analytical gaps provided the main motivation for the Energy Modeling Forum (EMF) 34 study on North American energy integration and trade. This paper compares North American results from 17 models and discusses their policy motivation. Oil and natural gas production in the three major countries are modestly sensitive to crude oil and natural gas price changes, although these elasticities are below unity. Carbon taxes displace coal and some natural gas with renewables within all three power markets. Lower natural gas prices replace coal and some renewables with natural gas within electric generation. Higher intermittent renewable penetration in the power sector displaces coal and some natural gas. A key conclusion is that much remains to be done in integrating future analyses and in sharing and improving the quality and consistency of the underlying data. © 2020 Elsevier Ltd
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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/167246
Appears in Collections:气候变化与战略

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作者单位: Stanford University, United States; Canada Energy Regulator, Canada; US Energy Information Administration, United States; Johns Hopkins University, United States; Electric Power Research Institute, United States; Joint Global Change Research Institute, United States; Imperial College London, United Kingdom; Environment and Climate Change, Canada; Technical University of Munich, Germany; American University, United States; ESMIA Consultants, Canada; National Energy Technology Laboratory, United States

Recommended Citation:
Huntington H.G.,Bhargava A.,Daniels D.,et al. Key findings from the core North American scenarios in the EMF34 intermodel comparison[J]. Energy Policy,2020-01-01,144
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