DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2020.111925
论文题名: Decomposition of the US CO2 emissions and its mitigation potential: An aggregate and sectoral analysis
作者: Wang Z. ; Jiang Q. ; Dong K. ; Mubarik M.S. ; Dong X.
刊名: Energy Policy
ISSN: 03014215
出版年: 2020
卷: 147 语种: 英语
中文关键词: Carbon mitigation pathways
; CO2 emission growth
; Influencing factors
; LMDI method
; US
英文关键词: Aggregates
; Carbon dioxide
; Economics
; Energy utilization
; Environmental regulations
; Global warming
; Population statistics
; Advanced scenarios
; Carbon dioxide emissions
; Economic structure
; Emission coefficient
; Energy consumption structure
; Mitigating effects
; Scenario analysis
; United nations framework convention on climate changes
; Economic and social effects
; carbon dioxide
; carbon emission
; decomposition analysis
; economic structure
; energy use
; environmental economics
; United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change
; United States
英文摘要: The United States (US), the largest economy in the world, emits more carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions each year than any country except China. Therefore, to mitigate the country's CO2 emissions effectively, it is essential to identify the driving forces of its emission changes. Using an extended logarithmic mean Divisia index (LMDI) method, this study decomposes US aggregate and sectoral emissions changes between 1997 and 2016 into six factors. Also, to seek for the possible mitigation pathways of the US emissions over the period 2020–2030, a scenario analysis is employed. The results indicate that: (1) For the growth of US emissions over 1997–2016, the main influencing factor is the scale effect (income and population), while the technology effect (energy intensity and emission coefficient) is the key driving force in mitigating US emissions; (2) although the structure effect (economic structure and energy consumption structure) also has a mitigating effect on US emissions, it plays a comparatively minor role; and (3) the forecast results suggest that the 2020 target released by the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) can be achieved under the moderate and advanced scenarios, while the 2025 target cannot be achieved under the three scenarios. © 2020 Elsevier Ltd Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/167574
Appears in Collections: 气候变化与战略
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作者单位: School of Economics and Management, Beijing Jiaotong University, Beijing, 100044, China; School of International Trade and Economics, University of International Business and Economics, Beijing, 100029, China; UIBE Belt & Road Energy Trade and Development Center, University of International Business and Economics, Beijing, 100029, China; College of Business Management, Institute of Business Management (IoBM), Karachi, 75190, Pakistan
Recommended Citation:
Wang Z.,Jiang Q.,Dong K.,et al. Decomposition of the US CO2 emissions and its mitigation potential: An aggregate and sectoral analysis[J]. Energy Policy,2020-01-01,147