DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2021.112135
论文题名: Quantitative analysis of automobile sector in Indonesian automotive roadmap for achieving national oil and CO2 emission reduction targets by 2030
作者: Chandra Setiawan I. ; Indarto ; Deendarlianto
刊名: Energy Policy
ISSN: 03014215
出版年: 2021
卷: 150 语种: 英语
中文关键词: ASIF framework
; Quantitative analysis
; Renewable biofuels
; Vehicle energy intensity
英文关键词: Alternative fuels
; Biodiesel
; Blending
; Carbon dioxide
; Economics
; Emission control
; Ethanol
; Fuel economy
; Petroleum transportation
; Automobile sector
; Business-as-usual
; CO2 emission reduction
; Electrified vehicles
; End-of-Life Vehicles
; National energy policy
; Policy initiatives
; Vehicle fuel economy
; Bioethanol
; alternative fuel
; automobile industry
; biofuel
; carbon dioxide
; carbon emission
; emission control
; emission inventory
; energy policy
; environmental economics
; fuel consumption
; governance approach
; policy implementation
; quantitative analysis
; sustainability
; targeting
; Indonesia
英文摘要: The dominance of private vehicles in the Indonesian transport modal mix has led to an enormous energy demand from oil and transport-related externalities. In 2018, to increase the sustainability of the automotive industry, the Indonesian government established an industrial roadmap with strong links to the national energy policy and CO2 emission reduction targets. The present manuscript proposes a model that could enable a quantitative projection of oil demand, CO2 emissions and assess the impact of proposed policy initiatives under the Activity, Mode Share, Intensity, and Fuel Choice (ASIF) framework. The results showed that improvements in vehicle fuel economy and the adoption of alternative fuels―such as bioethanol, biodiesel, and electricity―could reduce oil and CO2 emissions by up to 30.8% and 33.2%, respectively, as compared to the business as usual (BAU) case by 2030. The most significant contribution was derived by adopting policies related to biofuel blending: bioethanol (E−10) and biodiesel (B-50) reduced oil emissions by up to 5.44% and 10.30%, respectively. The electrified vehicle policy and improvements related to the new vehicle fuel economy contributed a combined 10.38% reduction. Meanwhile, the mandatory use of CNG made a contribution of only 0.98%. The end-of-life vehicle (ELV) retirement policy was also evaluated, with the results showing that it could contribute up to 3.49%. The findings suggest that the roadmap should be restructured to include a specific biofuel blend ratio mandate and new vehicle fuel economy targets. Additionally, a step-by-step implementation timeline needs to be established to enable a sufficient transition period during which the industry sector can adjust. © 2021 Elsevier Ltd Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/167717
Appears in Collections: 气候变化与战略
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作者单位: Department of Mechanical and Industrial Engineering, Faculty of Engineering, Universitas Gadjah Mada, Jalan Grafika No. 2, Yogyakarta, 55281, Indonesia; Department of Mechanical Engineering, Universitas Pancasila, Jl. Borobudur No. 7 Menteng, Jakarta, 10320, Indonesia; Center for Energy Studies, Universitas Gadjah Mada, Sekip K-1A, Kampus UGM, Yogyakarta, 55281, Indonesia
Recommended Citation:
Chandra Setiawan I.,Indarto,Deendarlianto. Quantitative analysis of automobile sector in Indonesian automotive roadmap for achieving national oil and CO2 emission reduction targets by 2030[J]. Energy Policy,2021-01-01,150