DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2020.112022
论文题名: Estimating the impact of the license plate quota policy for ICEVs on new energy vehicle adoption by using synthetic control method
作者: Chi Y.-Y. ; Wang Y.-Y. ; Xu J.-H.
刊名: Energy Policy
ISSN: 03014215
出版年: 2021
卷: 149 语种: 英语
中文关键词: Difference-in-differences method
; License plate quota policy for ICEVs
; New energy vehicle
; Policy evaluation
; Synthetic control method
英文关键词: Sales
; Adoption barriers
; Charging infrastructures
; Difference-in-differences
; Internal combustion engine vehicles
; Negative sentiments
; New energy vehicles
; Public transportation
; Synthetic control
; License plates (automobile)
; adoption behavior
; automobile industry
; data set
; electric vehicle
; policy approach
; policy implementation
; public transport
; transportation policy
; China
; Guangdong
; Haikou
; Hainan
; Hangzhou
; Shenzhen
; Tianjin
; Zhejiang
英文摘要: Since 1994, to overcome adoption barriers and promote new energy vehicles (NEVs), eight cities and one province in China have implemented a license plate quota policy for internal combustion engine vehicles (ICEVs). We use a city-level dataset of NEV sales to assess the impact of license plate quota policy for ICEVs on the adoption of NEVs, by using both the synthetic control method (SCM) and difference-in-differences (DID) method for the first time. We find that license plate quota policy can significantly increase the annual sales of NEVs in Tianjin, Hangzhou, Shenzhen, and Haikou by approximately 73.4%, 87.5%, 87%, and 65.5% of total sales of NEVs, which is equivalent to increasing the annual sales of NEVs by 15,557, 22,267, 37,455, and 448 vehicles, respectively. Further, our findings indicate that a license plate quota policy for ICEVs promotes the adoption of NEVs but has certain limitations, for example, license plate quota policy has a short-term inhibitory effect on the regional auto industry. Moreover, due to the restraint on consumers from purchasing ICEVs, consumers have certain negative sentiment toward the policy based on text analysis. Regions where license plate quota policy is adopted generally required well-developed public transportation and adequate charging infrastructures. © 2020 Elsevier Ltd Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/167733
Appears in Collections: 气候变化与战略
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作者单位: School of Economics and Management, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing, 100124, China; Center for Energy and Environmental Policy Research, Institutes of Science and Development, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, 100190, China
Recommended Citation:
Chi Y.-Y.,Wang Y.-Y.,Xu J.-H.. Estimating the impact of the license plate quota policy for ICEVs on new energy vehicle adoption by using synthetic control method[J]. Energy Policy,2021-01-01,149