globalchange  > 气候变化与战略
DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2020.112097
论文题名:
The U.S. coal sector between shale gas and renewables: Last resort coal exports?
作者: Hauenstein C.; Holz F.
刊名: Energy Policy
ISSN: 03014215
出版年: 2021
卷: 149
语种: 英语
中文关键词: Coal ; EMF34 ; International coal trade ; Numerical modeling ; Scenarios ; USA
英文关键词: Coal ; Commerce ; Fossil fuel power plants ; Gas industry ; Natural gas wells ; Natural gasoline plants ; Shale gas ; Coal consumption ; Coal production ; Coal-fired power generation ; Coal-fired power plant ; Economic condition ; Energy system analysis ; Political support ; U.s. energy information administrations ; Coal industry ; alternative energy ; coal industry ; energy market ; export ; numerical model ; scenario analysis ; shale gas ; United States
英文摘要: Coal consumption and production have sharply declined in recent years in the U.S., despite political support. Reasons are mostly unfavorable economic conditions for coal, including competition from natural gas and renewables in the power sector, as well as an aging coal-fired power plant fleet. Nevertheless, coal remains a major energy source in the North American energy markets. Supplementing EMF34 energy system analyses, we take a sectoral perspective to analyze coal's future role in this context. The U.S. Energy Information Administration as well as most models in EMF34 depict continuously high shares of coal-fired power generation over the next decades in their current policy scenarios. We contrast their results with coal sector modelling based on bottom-up data and recent market trends. We project considerably lower near-term coal use for power generation in the U.S. This has significant effects on regional coal production. Allowing new export terminals along the U.S. West Coast could ease cuts in U.S. production. Yet, exports are a highly uncertain strategy because the U.S. could be strongly affected by changes in global demand, for example from non-U.S. climate policy. © 2020 The Authors
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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/167809
Appears in Collections:气候变化与战略

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作者单位: Workgroup for Economic and Infrastructure Policy, Technische Universität Berlin, Straße des 17. Juni 135, Berlin, 10623, Germany; Dept. Energy, Transport, Environment, German Institute for Economic Research (DIW Berlin), Mohrenstr. 58, Berlin, 10115, Germany; Norwegian University of Science and Technology (NTNU), NTNU Energy Transition Initiative (NETI), Trondheim, 7491, Norway

Recommended Citation:
Hauenstein C.,Holz F.. The U.S. coal sector between shale gas and renewables: Last resort coal exports?[J]. Energy Policy,2021-01-01,149
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