globalchange  > 气候变化与战略
DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2021.112306
论文题名:
The effect of group decisions in heat transitions: An agent-based approach
作者: Nava-Guerrero G.-D.-C.; Hansen H.H.; Korevaar G.; Lukszo Z.
刊名: Energy Policy
ISSN: 03014215
出版年: 2021
卷: 156
语种: 英语
中文关键词: Group decision-making ; Homeowner associations (HOA) ; Implicit discount rate (IDR) ; Quorum constraints ; Strata buildings ; Technology adoption
英文关键词: Autonomous agents ; Computational methods ; Decision making ; Heating ; Heating equipment ; Housing ; Discount rates ; Group decision ; Group Decision Making ; Heating system ; Homeowner association ; Implicit discount rate ; Natural gas consumption ; Quorum constraint ; Stratum building ; Technology adoption ; Natural gas ; building ; decision making ; electricity generation ; electricity supply ; energy policy ; household energy ; innovation ; technology adoption ; Netherlands
英文摘要: The Netherlands aims at reducing natural gas consumption for heating in the housing sector. Although homeowners are responsible for replacing their heating systems and improving dwelling insulation, they are not always able to make individual decisions. Some projects require group decisions within and between buildings. We use an agent-based modelling and simulation approach to explore how these individual and group decisions would influence natural gas consumption and heating costs in an illustrative neighbourhood, under a set of assumptions. We model individual household preferences over combinations of insulation and heating systems as a lifetime cost calculation with implicit discount rates, and we use quorum constraints to represent group decisions. We model three fiscal policies and a policy to disconnect all dwellings from the natural gas network. Results show that the disconnection policy was the only necessary and sufficient condition to incentivize households to replace their heating systems and that group decisions influenced the alternatives that were chosen. Since results were influenced by group decisions within buildings and by the market discount rate, we recommend further research regarding policies around these topics. Future work can apply our approach to case studies, incorporate new empirical knowledge, and explore group decisions in other contexts. © 2021 The Author(s)
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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/167947
Appears in Collections:气候变化与战略

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作者单位: Faculty of Technology, Policy and Management, Delft University of Technology, Jaffalaan 5, 2628, Delft, BX, Netherlands; Bernoulli Institute for Mathematics, Computer Science and Artificial Intelligence, FSE, University of Groningen, Nijenborgh 9, Groningen, AG 9747, Netherlands

Recommended Citation:
Nava-Guerrero G.-D.-C.,Hansen H.H.,Korevaar G.,et al. The effect of group decisions in heat transitions: An agent-based approach[J]. Energy Policy,2021-01-01,156
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