DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2020.111936
论文题名: Prioritization of strategic measures for strengthening the security of supply of the Serbian natural gas sector
作者: Pavlović B. ; Ivezić D. ; Živković M.
刊名: Energy Policy
ISSN: 03014215
出版年: 2021
卷: 148 语种: 英语
中文关键词: Decision-making
; Energy indicators
; Fuzzy AHP
; Natural gas supply
; Security of supply
英文关键词: Gas industry
; Gas supply
; Fuzzy analytic hierarchy process
; Gas sector
; Gas storage
; Gas systems
; Herfindahl-hirschman indices
; Prioritization
; Security of supply
; Turkishs
; Underground gas storage
; analytical hierarchy process
; decision making
; energy market
; fuzzy mathematics
; natural gas
; prioritization
; strategic approach
; Serbia
英文摘要: To strengthen the security of supply of the Serbian gas sector, it is necessary to analyze the impact of planned strategic measures. The analysis involves the identification of the most influential threats to the security of natural gas supply and prioritization of the strategic measures for overcoming the consequences of threats. The proposed methodology is based on Fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process. The obtained weights for the identified threats and strategic measures are formed according to experts' judgments. The results of the experts’ judgments indicate that the most influential threats are termination of supply at the border with Hungary, termination of supply from Russia, and termination of supply from gas storage. The strategic measure with the highest priority is the so-called “Turkish Stream” project. Two additional strategic measures (gas interconnection Serbia – Bulgaria and the project of expanding the capacities of underground gas storage) could also be beneficial. The final results are validated by two security of supply indicators - Infrastructural Supply Standard (N-1) and Herfindahl-Hirschman Index (HHI). The N-1 is implemented to examine the preparedness of the gas system for disruption of the largest source in the network, while the HHI is implemented to examine the diversification of the imports. © 2020 Elsevier Ltd Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/167967
Appears in Collections: 气候变化与战略
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作者单位: University of Belgrade - Faculty of Mining and Geology, Djusina 7, Belgrade, 11000, Serbia
Recommended Citation:
Pavlović B.,Ivezić D.,Živković M.. Prioritization of strategic measures for strengthening the security of supply of the Serbian natural gas sector[J]. Energy Policy,2021-01-01,148