DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2020.111929
论文题名: The decarbonisation of the EU heating sector through electrification: A parametric analysis
作者: Thomaßen G. ; Kavvadias K. ; Jiménez Navarro J.P.
刊名: Energy Policy
ISSN: 03014215
出版年: 2021
卷: 148 语种: 英语
中文关键词: Demand decomposition
; Electricity demand
; Heat pumps
; Load shifting
英文关键词: Decarbonization
; Electric power utilization
; Heat pump systems
; Heating
; Decarbonisation
; Electric demand
; Heat pump capacity
; Heating sectors
; Low carbon energies
; National power systems
; Official Statistics
; Parametric -analysis
; Electric utilities
; demand-side management
; electricity supply
; electrification
; European Union
; Europe
英文摘要: In this paper, we examine the electrification of the heating sector as a decarbonisation strategy, discuss its effectiveness, and preliminary assess its impact on the European power system. For this purpose, we perform a complete description of the EU heating sector compliant with official statistics and decompose the EU power demand in different uses to define and assess different levels of heat electrification. We find that heat electrification is an effective decarbonisation option, which can reduce the total energy related emissions by up to 17%, if paired with simultaneous expansion of low-carbon energy. Due to the relative sizes of heat and power demands, we find that most national power systems could cope with higher heat-electrification rates. Specifically, an additional heat pump capacity in the order of 1.1–1.6 TWth can be deployed based on the existing firm power capacity, which would correspond to a heat pump share of 29–45% in space heating. Based on their current power capacity, 12 Member States are prepared for even full electrification scenarios, whereas three Member States could get their power system stressed if 40–60% of all fossil-fuelled technologies are substituted. Flexible electric demand is identified as a key enabler of larger heat electrification shares. © 2020 The Authors Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/168046
Appears in Collections: 气候变化与战略
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作者单位: European Commission, Joint Research Centre (JRC), Petten, Netherlands; Institute for Infrastructure and Resource Management, University of Leipzig, Germany
Recommended Citation:
Thomaßen G.,Kavvadias K.,Jiménez Navarro J.P.. The decarbonisation of the EU heating sector through electrification: A parametric analysis[J]. Energy Policy,2021-01-01,148