globalchange  > 气候变化与战略
DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2020.112021
论文题名:
Modelling the interaction between policies and international trade flows for liquid biofuels: an agent-based modelling approach
作者: van Tol M.C.M.; Moncada J.A.; Lukszo Z.; Weijnen M.
刊名: Energy Policy
ISSN: 03014215
出版年: 2021
卷: 149
语种: 英语
中文关键词: Agent-based modelling (ABM) ; Economic behaviour farmers ; International trade flows ; Liquid biofuels ; Policy exploration
英文关键词: Agriculture ; Autonomous agents ; Biodiesel ; Computational methods ; Palm oil ; Simulation platform ; Agent-based model ; Agent-based modelling ; Biodiesel production ; Biofuel production ; Liquid biofuels ; New approaches ; Social process ; Spatially explicit ; International trade ; biofuel ; European Union ; international trade ; modeling ; trade flow ; Europe
英文摘要: World biofuel production and trade have grown exponentially in the last decade. Nevertheless, the interaction between the markets for oilseeds (food/feed/bioenergy) and liquid vegetable oil-based biofuels is overwhelmingly complex and thus not well understood. In this study, we developed a spatially explicit agent-based model to provide insights into the effect of farmers' behaviour on trade flows and biodiesel production and to shed light on the influence of import tariffs for both palm oil and biodiesel on system behaviour. This new approach enables us to assess different types of rational economic behaviour for the adoption of crops by farmers. Results show that model outcomes can vary substantially based on the assumptions made concerning the behaviour of farmers. Moreover, we found that biodiesel trade and production are more sensitive to a change in the EU-28's biodiesel import tariff than to a change in the EU-28's palm oil import tariff. Overall, our results show that social processes, actors' heterogeneity, and institutions play an important role in the behaviour of the system. © 2020 The Authors
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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/168058
Appears in Collections:气候变化与战略

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作者单位: Faculty of Technology, Policy and Management, Delft University of Technology, Jaffalaan 5, Delft, 2628 BX, Netherlands; Energy Institute, Division Applied Mechanics and Energy Conversion, Department of Mechanical Engineering, KU Leuven, Celestijnenlaan 300A box 2421, Leuven, 3001, Belgium

Recommended Citation:
van Tol M.C.M.,Moncada J.A.,Lukszo Z.,et al. Modelling the interaction between policies and international trade flows for liquid biofuels: an agent-based modelling approach[J]. Energy Policy,2021-01-01,149
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