DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2021.112150
论文题名: Decarbonizing China's power sector by 2030 with consideration of technological progress and cross-regional power transmission
作者: Xiao J. ; Li G. ; Xie L. ; Wang S. ; Yu L.
刊名: Energy Policy
ISSN: 03014215
出版年: 2021
卷: 150 语种: 英语
中文关键词: Cross-regional power transmission
; Decarbonization
; Power sector
; Structural optimization
; Technology learning curve
英文关键词: Carbon
; Cost effectiveness
; Costs
; Decarbonization
; Emission control
; Nuclear fuels
; Power transmission
; Transmissions
; Wind power
; Carbon emissions
; Carbon emissions reductions
; Carbon pricing
; Cost effective
; Economic growths
; Power generation mix
; Promoting effect
; Technological progress
; Electric power system interconnection
; carbon emission
; cost-benefit analysis
; economic growth
; emission control
; environmental economics
; pollution tax
; power generation
; China
英文摘要: The power sector has tremendous technological potential for decarbonization, hence, the decarbonization of China's power sector is crucial to the successful implementation of national carbon emissions reduction plan. In this study, a decarbonization model with consideration of both technological progress and cross-regional power transmission for China's power sector is built to explore the potential and possible pathway of decarbonization under the constraint of optimal cost. The model is operated at different carbon prices in three economic growth scenarios. Our findings show that the power generation structure is undergoing a shift from coal power to hydropower, nuclear power, and wind power, and both the coal power generation and carbon emissions can peak by 2030. Carbon pricing can speed up this process and reduce the peak height. Additionally, an appropriate carbon price has a significant promoting effect on decarbonization in the power sector; we conclude that the optimal carbon price is 21 USD/t. Moreover, the higher the economic development level, the lower the final average cost of power generation mix and the more significant the carbon emissions reduction, which implies that it is more cost-effective to carry out decarbonization related policy in the power sector during the stage of rapid economic growth. © 2021 Elsevier Ltd Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/168086
Appears in Collections: 气候变化与战略
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作者单位: Business School, Sichuan University, Chengdu, 610064, China; Management Science and Operations Research Institute, Sichuan University, Chengdu, 610064, China; School of Medical Information Engineering, Zunyi Medical University, Zunyi, 563006, China; Academy of Mathematics and Systems Science, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, 100190, China; School of Economics and Management, Beijing University of Chemical Technology, Beijing, 100029, China
Recommended Citation:
Xiao J.,Li G.,Xie L.,et al. Decarbonizing China's power sector by 2030 with consideration of technological progress and cross-regional power transmission[J]. Energy Policy,2021-01-01,150