globalchange  > 气候变化与战略
DOI: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2020.102168
论文题名:
Providing decent living with minimum energy: A global scenario
作者: Millward-Hopkins J.; Steinberger J.K.; Rao N.D.; Oswald Y.
刊名: Global Environmental Change
ISSN: 9593780
出版年: 2020
卷: 65
语种: 英语
中文关键词: Basic needs ; Climate change ; Demand ; Energy ; Inequality ; Sufficiency
英文关键词: demand-side management ; energy planning ; global economy ; global perspective ; scenario analysis ; technological development
英文摘要: It is increasingly clear that averting ecological breakdown will require drastic changes to contemporary human society and the global economy embedded within it. On the other hand, the basic material needs of billions of people across the planet remain unmet. Here, we develop a simple, bottom-up model to estimate a practical minimal threshold for the final energy consumption required to provide decent material livings to the entire global population. We find that global final energy consumption in 2050 could be reduced to the levels of the 1960s, despite a population three times larger. However, such a world requires a massive rollout of advanced technologies across all sectors, as well as radical demand-side changes to reduce consumption – regardless of income – to levels of sufficiency. Sufficiency is, however, far more materially generous in our model than what those opposed to strong reductions in consumption often assume. © 2020
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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/168208
Appears in Collections:气候变化与战略

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作者单位: Sustainability Research Institute, School of Earth and Environment, University of Leeds, Leeds, LS2 9JT, United Kingdom; Institute of Geography and Sustainability, Faculty of Geosciences and Environment, University of Lausanne, Vaud, Switzerland; Yale School of Forestry & Environmental Studies, Yale University, New Haven, CT, United States; IIASA (International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis), Laxenburg, Austria

Recommended Citation:
Millward-Hopkins J.,Steinberger J.K.,Rao N.D.,et al. Providing decent living with minimum energy: A global scenario[J]. Global Environmental Change,2020-01-01,65
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