globalchange  > 气候变化与战略
DOI: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2021.102247
论文题名:
Hot dry days increase perceived experience with global warming
作者: Marlon J.R.; Wang X.; Mildenberger M.; Bergquist P.; Swain S.; Hayhoe K.; Howe P.D.; Maibach E.; Leiserowitz A.
刊名: Global Environmental Change
ISSN: 9593780
出版年: 2021
卷: 68
语种: 英语
中文关键词: Climate change ; Drought ; Extreme weather ; Heat ; Personal experience ; Risk perceptions
英文关键词: climate change ; climate effect ; environmental indicator ; environmental issue ; extreme event ; global warming ; individual variation ; perception ; political ideology ; United States
英文摘要: Public perceptions of climate change in the United States are deeply rooted in cultural values and political identities. Yet, as the public experiences extreme weather and other climate change-related impacts, their perceptions of the issue may shift. Here, we explore whether, when, and where local climate trends have already influenced perceived experiences of global warming in the United States. Using a large national survey dataset (n = 13,607), we compare Americans’ experiences of climate with corresponding trends in seven different high-resolution climate indicators for the period 2008 to 2015. We find that increases in hot dry day exposure significantly increases individuals’ perceptions that they have personally experienced global warming. We do not find robust evidence that other precipitation and temperature anomalies have had a similar effect. We also use multilevel modeling to explore county-level patterns of perceived experiences with climate change. Whereas the individual-level analysis describes a likely causal relationship between a changing climate and individuals’ perceived experience, the multilevel model depicts county-level changes in perceived experience resulting from particular climate trends. Overall, we find that exposure to hot dry days, has a modest influence on perceived experience, independent of the political and socio-demographic factors that dominate U.S. climate opinions today. © 2021 Elsevier Ltd
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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/168313
Appears in Collections:气候变化与战略

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作者单位: Yale School of the Environment, 195 Prospect Street, New Haven, CT 06511, United States; Department of Political Science, Texas Tech University, 113 Holden Hall, Boston and Akron Streets, Lubbock, TX 79409-1015, United States; Climate Center, Texas Tech University, Lubbock, TX 79409-1015, United States; Department of Political Science, University of California Santa Barbara, Santa Barbara, CA 93106-9420, United States; Department of Environment and Society, Utah State University, 5215 Old Main Hill, Logan, UT 84322-5215, United States; Center for Climate Change Communication, George Mason University, Fairfax, VA 22030, United States; The Nature Conservancy, Arlington, VA, United States; McCourt School of Public Policy, Georgetown University, Washington DC, United States; Department of Finance and Quantitative Management, St. Mary's University, San Antonio, TX, United States

Recommended Citation:
Marlon J.R.,Wang X.,Mildenberger M.,et al. Hot dry days increase perceived experience with global warming[J]. Global Environmental Change,2021-01-01,68
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