DOI: 10.1007/s11069-020-03952-7
论文题名: A nine-step approach for developing and implementing an “agricultural drought risk management plan”; case study: Alamut River basin in Qazvin, Iran
作者: Fatehi Marj A. ; Hosseini Hossein Abadi F.
刊名: Natural Hazards
ISSN: 0921030X
出版年: 2020
卷: 102, 期: 3 起始页码: 1187
结束页码: 1205
语种: 英语
中文关键词: Agricultural drought risk management plan
; Damage monitoring
; Drought indicators
; Drought risk reduction
; Mitigation and contingency programs
; Vulnerability assessment
英文关键词: agricultural management
; climate change
; decision making
; drought
; integrated approach
; policy implementation
; risk assessment
; stakeholder
; Alamut
; Iran
; Qazvin [Iran]
; Animalia
英文摘要: Occurrence of drought, as an inevitable natural climate feature, cannot be ceased while happening. However, costs of the consequences could be alleviated using mature scientific integrated approaches. To reduce the amount of damage, it is required to provide “Contingency” and “Mitigation” action plans. For this reason, development of efficient operating instructions for various regions based on weather conditions and field studies is needed as well as having a sophisticated understanding of socioeconomic situations. This paper describes an approach to provide the first national agricultural drought risk management plan for a river basin in Iran country as a pilot. The study lasted for 3 years as a national technical research project for the “soil conservation and watershed management research institute.” To reach the objectives, besides holding workshops and specialized think-tank meetings, field researches were done. Based on the socioeconomic data sources in the basin and the results of meetings by participation of local managers and residents, the final plan was developed. Moreover, in order to carry out this research, different climatic, agricultural and local information were collected in the watershed. In the next steps, potential risks and vulnerabilities of various agricultural sectors due to the hazard were evaluated. In this study, a nine-step approach to develop an agricultural drought risk management plan proposing different scientific–managerial phases based on the latest experts’ opinions, released international scientific best practices, and existing conditions governing the region was followed. With respect to the average income of US$ one million from agriculture and animal husbandry in the river basin, total drought loss varies from US$ 86,000 to US$ 258,000 for a range of light to very intense drought conditions, respectively. The setup of these nine executive phases defined monitoring, forecasting, and warning steps in working teams and managed the subprograms in partnership with stakeholders and decision-makers to mitigate the rate of drought damage from 30 to 47% (depending on the severity of the drought condition). © 2020, Springer Nature B.V. Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/168486
Appears in Collections: 气候变化与战略
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作者单位: National Agricultural Drought Management Center, Soil Conservation and Watershed Management Research Institute (SCWMRI) of the Iranian Agricultural Research and Education Organization (AREO), Tehran, Iran; Civil Engineering Department, Sharif University of Technology, Tehran, Iran
Recommended Citation:
Fatehi Marj A.,Hosseini Hossein Abadi F.. A nine-step approach for developing and implementing an “agricultural drought risk management plan”; case study: Alamut River basin in Qazvin, Iran[J]. Natural Hazards,2020-01-01,102(3)