DOI: 10.1007/s11069-020-03855-7
论文题名: MERLIN: a flood hazard forecasting system for coastal river reaches
作者: Fraga I. ; Cea L. ; Puertas J.
刊名: Natural Hazards
ISSN: 0921030X
出版年: 2020
卷: 100, 期: 3 起始页码: 1171
结束页码: 1193
语种: 英语
中文关键词: Early warning system
; Flood hazard forecast
; Flood risk management
; Hydraulic modelling
; Hydrological modelling
英文摘要: This study presents MERLIN, an innovative flood hazard forecasting system for predicting discharges and water levels at flood prone areas of coastal catchments. Discharge forecasts are preceded by a hindcast stage. During this stage, the hydrological models assimilate soil moisture and hydro-meteorological observations to evaluate soil infiltration capacities at the beginning of the discharge forecast. Predicted discharges are converted to water-level forecasts using the hydraulic model Iber+, a GPU-parallelized bidimensional flow model. Hydraulic models also assimilate tidal-level forecasts in order to define the boundary conditions of the models. The performance of MERLIN was evaluated over 4 months at three coastal catchments of 4.95, 16.96, and 83.9 km2. Forecasted discharges and water levels presented a good fit to observed values, especially at the larger catchments, which confirmed the potential utility of the presented system. © 2020, Springer Nature B.V.
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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/168494
Appears in Collections: 气候变化与战略
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作者单位: CITIC, University of A Coruña, A Coruña, Spain; Environmental and Water Engineering Group, Department of Civil Engineering, University of A Coruña, A Coruña, Spain
Recommended Citation:
Fraga I.,Cea L.,Puertas J.. MERLIN: a flood hazard forecasting system for coastal river reaches[J]. Natural Hazards,2020-01-01,100(3)