DOI: 10.1007/s11069-020-04210-6
论文题名: Study of double combination evaluation of urban comprehensive disaster risk
作者: Wang W. ; Xia C. ; Liu C. ; Wang Z.
刊名: Natural Hazards
ISSN: 0921030X
出版年: 2020
卷: 104, 期: 2 起始页码: 1181
结束页码: 1209
语种: 英语
中文关键词: Combination evaluation method
; Comprehensive disaster risk
; Comprehensive evaluation method
; Consistency test
; Cycle correction idea
; Support degree concept
英文关键词: disaster management
; fuzzy mathematics
; natural hazard
; risk assessment
; stochasticity
; urban development
; urban planning
; China
英文摘要: Aiming at solving the difficult problem of inconsistent single-method evaluation results in comprehensive disaster risk assessment, this paper presents an evaluation method based on a combination of the ranking value and the evaluation value. First, the seven methods of the fuzzy comprehensive evaluation (FCE), the set pair analysis (SPA), the improved grey target analysis (IGT), the fuzzy stochastic simulation (FSS), the grey relational degree analysis (GRA), the extension matter element evaluation (EME), and the technique for order preference by similarity to an ideal solution (TOPSIS) are used to conduct urban comprehensive disaster risk assessment. Second, to ensure the degree of correlation between individual evaluation methods and make full use of more information to achieve the purpose of complementary advantages, the Kendall synergy coefficient, the Spearman rank correlation coefficient, and the comprehensive support coefficient are used as the single-method compatibility consistency test standards. The combined evaluation methods of the cyclic correction model and support model are used to combine the single evaluation results, and the highly coordinated comprehensive disaster risk ranking value and evaluation value are obtained through repeated tests, thus constructing a highly scientific and reasonable dual combination evaluation model. Finally, through analysis and comparison of the final combined ranking and evaluation values of 31 provinces, municipalities directly under the central government and autonomous regions in China under the dual combination mode, it is verified that the dual combination idea can obtain evaluation results with high convergence and credibility, solve the problem of inconsistent evaluation results of multiple methods, provide a new research idea and method for measuring the comprehensive disaster risk of cities, and provide a scientific basis for efficiently serving comprehensive risk prevention management and various urban planning and construction work. © 2020, Springer Nature B.V. Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/168788
Appears in Collections: 气候变化与战略
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作者单位: College of Architecture and Urban Planning, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing, 100124, China; Institute of Earthquake Resistances and Disaster Reduction, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing, 100124, China; College of Civil and Transportation, Hebei University of Technology, Tianjin, 300401, China
Recommended Citation:
Wang W.,Xia C.,Liu C.,et al. Study of double combination evaluation of urban comprehensive disaster risk[J]. Natural Hazards,2020-01-01,104(2)