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DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0083387
论文题名:
Increased Incidence of Tuberculosis in Zimbabwe, in Association with Food Insecurity, and Economic Collapse: An Ecological Analysis
作者: Stephen J. Burke; Elliot Lass; Paul Thistle; Lovemore Katumbe; Arif Jetha; Dan Schwarz; Shelly Bolotin; R. D. Barker; Andrew Simor; Michael Silverman
刊名: PLOS ONE
ISSN: 1932-6203
出版年: 2014
发表日期: 2014-2-5
卷: 9, 期:2
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Tuberculosis ; HIV ; Zimbabwe ; HIV epidemiology ; Tuberculosis diagnosis and management ; Outpatients ; Seasons ; Economic analysis
英文摘要: Background Zimbabwe underwent a socioeconomic crisis and resultant increase in food insecurity in 2008–9. The impact of the crisis on Tuberculosis (TB) incidence is unknown. Methods Prospective databases from two mission hospitals, which were geographically widely separated, and remained open during the crisis, were reviewed. Results At the Howard Hospital (HH) in northern Zimbabwe, TB incidence increased 35% in 2008 from baseline rates in 2003–2007 (p<0.01) and remained at that level in 2009. Murambinda Hospital (MH) in Eastern Zimbabwe also demonstrated a 29% rise in TB incidence from 2007 to 2008 (p<0.01) and remained at that level in 2009. Data collected post-crisis at HH showed a decrease of 33% in TB incidence between 2009 to 2010 (p<0.001) and 2010/2011 TB incidence remained below that of the crisis years of 2008/2009 (p<0.01). Antenatal clinic HIV seroprevalence at HH decreased between 2001(23%) to 2011(11%) (p<0.001). Seasonality of TB incidence was analyzed at both MH and HH. There was a higher TB incidence in the dry season when food is least available (September-November) compared to post harvest (April-June) (p<0.001). Conclusion This study suggests that an epidemic of TB mirrored socioeconomic collapse and recovery in Zimbabwe. The seasonal data suggests that food security may have been associated with TB incidence both annually and during the crisis in this high HIV prevalence country.
URL: http://journals.plos.org/plosone/article/file?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0083387&type=printable
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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/19167
Appears in Collections:过去全球变化的重建
影响、适应和脆弱性
科学计划与规划
气候变化与战略
全球变化的国际研究计划
气候减缓与适应
气候变化事实与影响

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作者单位: University of Ottawa, Ottawa, Canada;University of Toronto, Toronto, Canada;University of Toronto, Toronto, Canada;Karanda Hospital, Mount Darwin, Zimbabwe;The University of Zimbabwe, Harare, Zimbabwe;The Howard Hospital, Glendale, Zimbabwe;University of Toronto, Toronto, Canada;The Dalla Lana School of Public Health, Toronto, Canada;Brigham and Women's Hospital and Children's Hospital of Boston, Boston, Massachusetts, United States of America;The Dalla Lana School of Public Health, Toronto, Canada;Murambinda Mission Hospital, Murambinda, Zimbabwe;Kings College Hospital, NHS Foundation Trust, London, United Kingdom;University of Toronto, Toronto, Canada;University of Toronto, Toronto, Canada;The Dalla Lana School of Public Health, Toronto, Canada;Lakeridge Health Corp, Oshawa, Canada

Recommended Citation:
Stephen J. Burke,Elliot Lass,Paul Thistle,et al. Increased Incidence of Tuberculosis in Zimbabwe, in Association with Food Insecurity, and Economic Collapse: An Ecological Analysis[J]. PLOS ONE,2014-01-01,9(2)
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