Global Variability in Reported Mortality for Critical Illness during the 2009-10 Influenza A(H1N1) Pandemic: A Systematic Review and Meta-Regression to Guide Reporting of Outcomes during Disease Outbreaks
Purpose To determine how patient, healthcare system and study-specific factors influence reported mortality associated with critical illness during the 2009–2010 Influenza A (H1N1) pandemic. Methods Systematic review with meta-regression of studies reporting on mortality associated with critical illness during the 2009–2010 Influenza A (H1N1) pandemic. Data Sources Medline, Embase, LiLACs and African Index Medicus to June 2009-March 2016. Results 226 studies from 50 countries met our inclusion criteria. Mortality associated with H1N1-related critical illness was 31% (95% CI 28–34). Reported mortality was highest in South Asia (61% [95% CI 50–71]) and Sub-Saharan Africa (53% [95% CI 29–75]), in comparison to Western Europe (25% [95% CI 22–30]), North America (25% [95% CI 22–27]) and Australia (15% [95% CI 13–18]) (P<0.0001). High income economies had significantly lower reported mortality compared to upper middle income economies and lower middle income economies respectively (P<0.0001). Mortality for the first wave was non-significantly higher than wave two (P = 0.66). There was substantial variability in reported mortality among the specific subgroups of patients: unselected critically ill adults (27% [95% CI 24–30]), acute respiratory distress syndrome (37% [95% CI 32–44]), acute kidney injury (44% [95% CI 26–64]), and critically ill pregnant patients (10% [95% CI 5–19]). Conclusion Reported mortality for outbreaks and pandemics may vary substantially depending upon selected patient characteristics, the number of patients described, and the region and economic status of the outbreak location. Outcomes from a relatively small number of patients from specific regions may lead to biased estimates of outcomes on a global scale.
Institute of Health Policy, Management and Evaluation, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada;Department of Critical Care, Respiratory Institute, Cleveland Clinic, Cleveland, Ohio, United States of America;Trauma, Emergency and Critical Care Program, Sunnybrook Health Sciences Centre, Toronto, Ontario, Canada;Institute of Health Policy, Management and Evaluation, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada;Trauma, Emergency and Critical Care Program, Sunnybrook Health Sciences Centre, Toronto, Ontario, Canada;Interdepartmental Division of Critical Care and Department of Medicine, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada;Institute of Health Policy, Management and Evaluation, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada;Trauma, Emergency and Critical Care Program, Sunnybrook Health Sciences Centre, Toronto, Ontario, Canada;Interdepartmental Division of Critical Care and Department of Medicine, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
Recommended Citation:
Abhijit Duggal,Ruxandra Pinto,Gordon Rubenfeld,et al. Global Variability in Reported Mortality for Critical Illness during the 2009-10 Influenza A(H1N1) Pandemic: A Systematic Review and Meta-Regression to Guide Reporting of Outcomes during Disease Outbreaks[J]. PLOS ONE,2016-01-01,11(5)