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DOI:	10.1371/journal.pone.0152186
论文题名:	Fitting the Incidence Data from the City of Campinas, Brazil, Based on Dengue Transmission Modellings Considering Time-Dependent Entomological Parameters
作者:	Hyun Mo Yang; José Luiz Boldrini; Artur César Fassoni; Luiz Fernando Souza Freitas; Miller Ceron Gomez; Karla Katerine Barboza de Lima; Valmir Roberto Andrade; André Ricardo Ribas Freitas
刊名:	PLOS ONE
ISSN:	1932-6203
出版年:	2016
发表日期:	2016-3-24
卷:	11, 期:3
语种:	英语
英文关键词:	Mosquitoes ; Death rates ; Rain ; Entomology ; Larvae ; Pupae ; Animal sexual behavior ; Aedes aegypti
英文摘要:	Four time-dependent dengue transmission models are considered in order to fit the incidence data from the City of Campinas, Brazil, recorded from October 1st 1995 to September 30th 2012. The entomological parameters are allowed to depend on temperature and precipitation, while the carrying capacity and the hatching of eggs depend only on precipitation. The whole period of incidence of dengue is split into four periods, due to the fact that the model is formulated considering the circulation of only one serotype. Dengue transmission parameters from human to mosquito and mosquito to human are fitted for each one of the periods. The time varying partial and overall effective reproduction numbers are obtained to explain the incidence of dengue provided by the models.
URL:	http://journals.plos.org/plosone/article/file?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0152186&type=printable
Citation statistics:
资源类型:	期刊论文
标识符:	http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/23733
Appears in Collections:	过去全球变化的重建影响、适应和脆弱性科学计划与规划气候变化与战略全球变化的国际研究计划气候减缓与适应气候变化事实与影响

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journal.pone.0152186.PDF（3248KB）	期刊论文	作者接受稿	开放获取	CC BY-NC-SA	View Download

作者单位:

Instituto de Matemática e Computação Científica (IMECC), Universidade Estadual de Campinas (UNICAMP), Campinas, SP, Brazil;Instituto de Matemática e Computação Científica (IMECC), Universidade Estadual de Campinas (UNICAMP), Campinas, SP, Brazil;Instituto de Matemática e Computação Científica (IMECC), Universidade Estadual de Campinas (UNICAMP), Campinas, SP, Brazil;Instituto de Matemática e Computação (IMC), Universidade Federal de Itajubá (UNIFEI), Itajubá, MG, Brazil;Instituto de Matemática e Computação Científica (IMECC), Universidade Estadual de Campinas (UNICAMP), Campinas, SP, Brazil;Instituto de Matemática e Computação Científica (IMECC), Universidade Estadual de Campinas (UNICAMP), Campinas, SP, Brazil;Instituto de Matemática e Computação Científica (IMECC), Universidade Estadual de Campinas (UNICAMP), Campinas, SP, Brazil;Superintendencia de Controle de Endemias (SUCEN), Campinas, SP, Brazil;Coordenadoria de Vigilância Sanitária (COVISA), Campinas, SP, Brazil

Recommended Citation:

Hyun Mo Yang,José Luiz Boldrini,Artur César Fassoni,et al. Fitting the Incidence Data from the City of Campinas, Brazil, Based on Dengue Transmission Modellings Considering Time-Dependent Entomological Parameters[J]. PLOS ONE,2016-01-01,11(3)

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