| DOI: | 10.7249/RR1455
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| 报告号: | RR-1455-AF
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| 报告题名: | Retaining U.S. Air Force Pilots When the Civilian Demand for Pilots Is Growing |
| 作者: | Michael G. Mattock; James Hosek; Beth J. Asch; Rita Karam
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| 出版者: | RAND Corporation
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| 出版年: | 2016
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| 发表日期: | 2016
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| 总页数: | 148
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| 国家: | 美国
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| 语种: | 英语
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| 英文关键词: | Military Personnel Retention
; Military Compensation
; United States Air Force
; Military Aircraft
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| 英文摘要: | An increase in pilot hiring at major commercial airlines could increase the outflow of U.S. Air Force rated officers and create manning shortfalls. In addition, because aviator pay (AP) and aviator retention pay (ARP) are now discretionary programs under Department of Defense Instruction 7730.67 and budget requests for them must be defended, the Air Force requires a capability to help anticipate the range of possible changes in civilian pilot pay and hiring and estimate the level of AP or ARP needed as a countermeasure. The authors provide data and analysis of airline pilot supply, compensation, and demand and conclude that major airlines are increasing both pilot pay and hiring, which could decrease Air Force pilot retention. They extended RAND's dynamic retention model to include the choice of ARP contract length and airline hiring. They estimated the model using longitudinal data on Air Force pilot retention for 1990 through 2000 entry cohorts followed to 2012 and incorporated new estimates of the civilian age-earnings profile of ex-military pilots employed by major airlines. With the estimated model, they simulated the effect on pilot retention of increases in civilian pay and airline hiring, as well as the elimination of AP for pilots assigned to non-flying positions. The authors found the levels of AP and ARP needed to offset those effects and sustain Air Force pilot retention. The findings vary by case, but a range of foreseeable increases in major airline hiring and pay would require increases in ARP to at least $38,500 and potentially as high as $62,500, well beyond the current cap of $25,000 per year. |
| URL: | http://www.rand.org/content/dam/rand/pubs/research_reports/RR1400/RR1455/RAND_RR1455.pdf
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| Citation statistics: |
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| 资源类型: | 研究报告
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| 标识符: | http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/27207
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| Appears in Collections: | 影响、适应和脆弱性
科学计划与规划
气候减缓与适应
气候变化事实与影响
气候变化与战略
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| RAND_RR1455.pdf（1439KB） | 研究报告 | -- | 开放获取 | | View
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| Recommended Citation: | |
Michael G. Mattock,James Hosek,Beth J. Asch,et al. Retaining U.S. Air Force Pilots When the Civilian Demand for Pilots Is Growing. 2016-01-01.
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