| DOI: | 10.7249/RR392
|
| 报告号: | RR-392-AF
|
| 报告题名: | The U.S.-China Military Scorecard: Forces, Geography, and the Evolving Balance of Power, 1996–2017 |
| 作者: | Eric Heginbotham; Michael Nixon; Forrest E. Morgan; Jacob Heim; Jeff Hagen; Sheng Li; Jeffrey Engstrom; Martin C. Libicki; Paul DeLuca; David A. Shlapak; et al.
|
| 出版者: | RAND Corporation
|
| 出版年: | 2015
|
| 发表日期: | 2015
|
| 总页数: | 430
|
| 国家: | 美国
|
| 语种: | 英语
|
| 英文关键词: | Global Security
; Air Warfare
; United States
; Cyber Warfare
; Nuclear Weapons and Warfare
; Air Defense
; Spratly Islands
; Antisubmarine Warfare
; Taiwan
; Space Warfare
; Submarines
|
| 中文主题词: | 草原
|
| 主题词: | ISLANDS
|
| 英文摘要: | Over the past two decades, China's People's Liberation Army has transformed itself from a large but antiquated force into a capable, modern military. Its technology and operational proficiency still lag behind those of the United States, but it has rapidly narrowed the gap. Moreover, China enjoys the advantage of proximity in most plausible conflict scenarios, and geographical advantage would likely neutralize many U.S. military strengths. A sound understanding of regional military issues — including forces, geography, and the evolving balance of power — will be essential for establishing appropriate U.S. political and military policies in Asia. This RAND study analyzes the development of respective Chinese and U.S. military capabilities in ten categories of military operations across two scenarios, one centered on Taiwan and one on the Spratly Islands. The analysis is presented in ten scorecards that assess military capabilities as they have evolved over four snapshot years: 1996, 2003, 2010, and 2017. The results show that China is not close to catching up to the United States in terms of aggregate capabilities, but also that it does not need to catch up to challenge the United States on its immediate periphery. Furthermore, although China's ability to project power to more distant locations remains limited, its reach is growing, and in the future U.S. military dominance is likely to be challenged at greater distances from China's coast. To maintain robust defense and deterrence capabilities in an era of fiscal constraints, the United States will need to ensure that its own operational concepts, procurement, and diplomacy anticipate future developments in Chinese military capabilities. |
| URL: | http://www.rand.org/content/dam/rand/pubs/research_reports/RR300/RR392/RAND_RR392.pdf
|
| Citation statistics: |
|
| 资源类型: | 研究报告
|
| 标识符: | http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/27869
|
| Appears in Collections: | 影响、适应和脆弱性
科学计划与规划
气候减缓与适应
气候变化事实与影响
气候变化与战略
|
| File Name/ File Size |
Content Type |
Version |
Access |
License |
|
|---|
| RAND_RR392.pdf（5453KB） | 研究报告 | -- | 开放获取 | | View
Download
|
|
| Recommended Citation: | |
Eric Heginbotham,Michael Nixon,Forrest E. Morgan,et al. The U.S.-China Military Scorecard: Forces, Geography, and the Evolving Balance of Power, 1996–2017. 2015-01-01.
|
|
|