| DOI: | 10.7249/RR513
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| 报告号: | RR-513-SRF
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| 报告题名: | Countering Others' Insurgencies: Understanding U.S. Small-Footprint Interventions in Local Context |
| 作者: | Stephen Watts; Jason H. Campbell; Patrick B. Johnston; Sameer Lalwani; Sarah H. Bana
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| 出版者: | RAND Corporation
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| 出版年: | 2014
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| 发表日期: | 2014
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| 总页数: | 250
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| 国家: | 美国
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| 语种: | 英语
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| 英文关键词: | Peacekeeping and Stability Operations
; Global Security
; Philippines
; Pakistan
; Military Strategy
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| 英文摘要: | This study examines the counterinsurgency strategies and practices adopted by threatened regimes and the conditions under which U.S. "small-footprint" partnerships are likely to help these governments succeed. The report's findings are derived from a mixed-method research design incorporating both quantitative and qualitative analysis. Simple statistical analyses are applied to a dataset of counterinsurgencies that have terminated since the end of the Cold War (72 in all), and more in-depth analyses are provided of two recent cases of U.S. partnerships with counterinsurgent regimes, in the Philippines and Pakistan. The quantitative analysis finds that the cases of small-footprint U.S. operations that are commonly touted as "success stories" all occurred in countries approximating a best-case scenario. Such a verdict is not meant to deny the importance of U.S. assistance; rather, it is meant to highlight that similar U.S. policies with less promising partner nations should not be expected to produce anywhere near the same levels of success. The majority of insurgencies have taken place in worst-case conditions, and in these environments, counterinsurgent regimes are typically unsuccessful in their efforts to end rebellion, and they often employ violence indiscriminately. The case studies of the Philippines and Pakistan largely reinforce the findings of the quantitative analysis. They also highlight the challenges the United States faces in attempting to influence partner regimes to fight counterinsurgencies in the manner that the United States would prefer. The study concludes with policy recommendations for managing troubled partnerships. |
| URL: | http://www.rand.org/content/dam/rand/pubs/research_reports/RR500/RR513/RAND_RR513.pdf
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| Citation statistics: |
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| 资源类型: | 研究报告
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| 标识符: | http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/27965
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| Appears in Collections: | 影响、适应和脆弱性
科学计划与规划
气候减缓与适应
气候变化事实与影响
气候变化与战略
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| RAND_RR513.pdf（1295KB） | 研究报告 | -- | 开放获取 | | View
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| Recommended Citation: | |
Stephen Watts,Jason H. Campbell,Patrick B. Johnston,et al. Countering Others' Insurgencies: Understanding U.S. Small-Footprint Interventions in Local Context. 2014-01-01.
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