globalchange  > 气候变化与战略
DOI: 10.5194/cp-12-749-2016
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-84961878499
论文题名:
Arctic sea ice simulation in the PlioMIP ensemble
作者: Howell F.W.; Haywood A.M.; Otto-Bliesner B.L.; Bragg F.; Chan W.-L.; Chandler M.A.; Contoux C.; Kamae Y.; Abe-Ouchi A.; Rosenbloom N.A.; Stepanek C.; Zhang Z.
刊名: Climate of the Past
ISSN: 18149324
出版年: 2016
卷: 12, 期:3
起始页码: 749
结束页码: 767
语种: 英语
英文摘要: Eight general circulation models have simulated the mid-Pliocene warm period (mid-Pliocene, 3.264 to 3.025Ma) as part of the Pliocene Modelling Intercomparison Project (PlioMIP). Here, we analyse and compare their simulation of Arctic sea ice for both the pre-industrial period and the mid-Pliocene. Mid-Pliocene sea ice thickness and extent is reduced, and the model spread of extent is more than twice the pre-industrial spread in some summer months. Half of the PlioMIP models simulate ice-free conditions in the mid-Pliocene. This spread amongst the ensemble is in line with the uncertainties amongst proxy reconstructions for mid-Pliocene sea ice extent. Correlations between mid-Pliocene Arctic temperatures and sea ice extents are almost twice as strong as the equivalent correlations for the pre-industrial simulations. The need for more comprehensive sea ice proxy data is highlighted, in order to better compare model performances.
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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/49039
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Recommended Citation:
Howell F.W.,Haywood A.M.,Otto-Bliesner B.L.,et al. Arctic sea ice simulation in the PlioMIP ensemble[J]. Climate of the Past,2016-01-01,12(3)
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