globalchange  > 气候变化事实与影响
DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0720.1
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-84987943636
论文题名:
An assessment of multimodel simulations for the variability of Western North Pacific tropical cyclones and its association with ENSO
作者: Han R.; Wang H.; Hu Z.-Z.; Kumar A.; Li W.; Long L.N.; Schemm J.E.; Peng P.; Wang W.; Si D.; Jia X.; Zhao M.; Vecchi G.A.; LaRow T.E.; Lim Y.-K.; Schubert S.D.; Camargo S.J.; Henderson N.; Jonas J.A.; Walsh K.J.E.
刊名: Journal of Climate
ISSN: 8948755
出版年: 2016
卷: 29, 期:18
起始页码: 6401
结束页码: 6423
语种: 英语
Scopus关键词: Atmospheric pressure ; Atmospheric temperature ; Climate change ; Climatology ; Hurricanes ; Mean square error ; Nickel ; Oceanography ; Storms ; Surface waters ; Tropics ; Global climate model ; Interannual variability ; Model comparison ; Multi-Model Simulations ; Root mean square errors ; Sea surface temperature (SST) ; Variability ; Western North Pacific ; Climate models
英文摘要: An assessment of simulations of the interannual variability of tropical cyclones (TCs) over the western North Pacific (WNP) and its association with El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO), as well as a subsequent diagnosis for possible causes of model biases generated from simulated large-scale climate conditions, are documented in the paper. The model experiments are carried out by the Hurricane Work Group under the U.S. Climate Variability and Predictability Research Program (CLIVAR) using five global climate models (GCMs) with a total of 16 ensemble members forced by the observed sea surface temperature and spanning the 28-yr period from 1982 to 2009. The results show GISS and GFDL model ensemble means best simulate the interannual variability of TCs, and the multimodel ensemble mean (MME) follows. Also, the MME has the closest climate mean annual number of WNP TCs and the smallest root-mean-square error to the observation. Most GCMs can simulate the interannual variability of WNP TCs well, with stronger TC activities during two types of El Niño-namely, eastern Pacific (EP) and central Pacific (CP) El Niño-and weaker activity during La Niña. However, none of the models capture the differences in TC activity between EP and CP El Niño as are shown in observations. The inability of models to distinguish the differences in TC activities between the two types of El Niño events may be due to the bias of the models in response to the shift of tropical heating associated with CP El Niño. © 2016 American Meteorological Society.
Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/50145
Appears in Collections:气候变化事实与影响

Files in This Item:

There are no files associated with this item.


作者单位: National Climate Center, China Meteorological Administration, Beijing, China; NOAA/NWS/NCEP/Climate Prediction Center, College Park, MD, United States; Innovim, Greenbelt, MD, United States; NOAA/Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, Princeton, NJ, United States; Center for Ocean-Atmospheric Prediction Studies, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL, United States; Global Modeling and Assimilation Office, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD, United States; Goddard Earth Sciences Technology and Research, I. M. Systems Group, Greenbelt, MD, United States; Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Columbia University, Palisades, NY, United States; Center for Climate System Research, Columbia University, New York, NY, United States; NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies, New York, NY, United States; School of Earth Sciences, University of Melbourne, Parkville, VIC, Australia

Recommended Citation:
Han R.,Wang H.,Hu Z.-Z.,et al. An assessment of multimodel simulations for the variability of Western North Pacific tropical cyclones and its association with ENSO[J]. Journal of Climate,2016-01-01,29(18)
Service
Recommend this item
Sava as my favorate item
Show this item's statistics
Export Endnote File
Google Scholar
Similar articles in Google Scholar
[Han R.]'s Articles
[Wang H.]'s Articles
[Hu Z.-Z.]'s Articles
百度学术
Similar articles in Baidu Scholar
[Han R.]'s Articles
[Wang H.]'s Articles
[Hu Z.-Z.]'s Articles
CSDL cross search
Similar articles in CSDL Cross Search
[Han R.]‘s Articles
[Wang H.]‘s Articles
[Hu Z.-Z.]‘s Articles
Related Copyright Policies
Null
收藏/分享
所有评论 (0)
暂无评论
 

Items in IR are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.