DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0376.1
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-84946217940
论文题名: The sea level response to external forcings in historical simulations of CMIP5 climate models
作者: Slangen A.B.A. ; Church J.A. ; Zhang X. ; Monselesan D.P.
刊名: Journal of Climate
ISSN: 8948755
出版年: 2015
卷: 28, 期: 21 起始页码: 8521
结束页码: 8539
语种: 英语
Scopus关键词: Aerosols
; Atmospheric temperature
; Climate change
; Climatology
; Earth (planet)
; Greenhouse gases
; Sea level
; Volcanoes
; Anthropogenic aerosols
; Historical simulation
; Internal climate variability
; Internal variability
; Regional sea level changes
; Surface temperatures
; Thermosteric sea level
; Volcanic eruptions
; Climate models
; climate change
; climate forcing
; climate modeling
; sea level change
; surface wind
; twentieth century
英文摘要: Changes in Earth's climate are influenced by internal climate variability and external forcings, such as changes in solar radiation, volcanic eruptions, anthropogenic greenhouse gases (GHG), and aerosols. Although the response of surface temperature to external forcings has been studied extensively, this has not been done for sea level. Here, a range of climate model experiments for the twentieth century is used to study the response of global and regional sea level change to external climate forcings. Both the global mean thermosteric sea level and the regional dynamic sea level patterns show clear responses to anthropogenic forcings that are significantly different from internal climate variability and larger than the difference between models driven by the same external forcing. The regional sea level patterns are directly related to changes in surface winds in response to the external forcings. The spread between different realizations of the same model experiment is consistent with internal climate variability derived from preindustrial control simulations. The spread between the different models is larger than the internal variability, mainly in regions with large sea level responses. Although the sea level responses toGHGand anthropogenic aerosol forcing oppose each other in the global mean, there are differences on a regional scale, offering opportunities for distinguishing between these two forcings in observed sea level change. © 2015 American Meteorological Society. Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/50768
Appears in Collections: 气候变化事实与影响
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作者单位: CSIRO Oceans and Atmosphere Flagship, Hobart, TAS, Australia
Recommended Citation:
Slangen A.B.A.,Church J.A.,Zhang X.,et al. The sea level response to external forcings in historical simulations of CMIP5 climate models[J]. Journal of Climate,2015-01-01,28(21)