| DOI: | 10.1007/s00382-014-2224-3
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| Scopus记录号: | 2-s2.0-84930003997
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| 论文题名: | Time and tide: analysis of sea level time series |
| 作者: | Foster G.; Brown P.T.
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| 刊名: | Climate Dynamics
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| ISSN: | 9307575
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| 出版年: | 2015
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| 卷: | 45, 期:2017-01-02 | | 起始页码: | 291
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| 结束页码: | 308
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| 语种: | 英语
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| 英文关键词: | Climate oscillations
; Sea level
; Time series
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| 英文摘要: | A number of recent papers have examined sea level data, both local tide gauge records and regional/global averages, to estimate not only how fast sea level is rising but how the rate has changed over time, i.e. its pattern of acceleration and deceleration. In addition, a number of claims of cyclic/quasi-periodic variations have been proposed. However, many of these papers contain technical problems which call their results into question. In particular, the issue of autocorrelation is often ignored, and even when it is addressed its impact has sometimes been misinterpreted. Autocorrelation does more than just affect the standard errors of regression analysis, it can also make the spectrum of a noise process distinctly “red” and therefore be highly suggestive of low-frequency periodic or pseudo-periodic behavior when none is present. If any analysis is applied which acts as a band-pass filter, it can further exaggerate the illusion of oscillatory behavior. These issues are highlighted in a small number of recent papers, in order to improve the quality of future work on this subject. © 2014, Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg. |
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| 资源类型: | 期刊论文
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| 标识符: | http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/54088
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| Appears in Collections: | 过去全球变化的重建
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作者单位: | Tempo Analytics, Dover Foxcroft, ME, United States; Duke University, Durham, NC, United States
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| Recommended Citation: | |
Foster G.,Brown P.T.. Time and tide: analysis of sea level time series[J]. Climate Dynamics,2015-01-01,45(2017-01-02)
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