DOI: 10.1007/s00382-014-2174-9
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-84939876805
论文题名: The cloud radiative effect on the atmospheric energy budget and global mean precipitation
作者: Lambert F.H. ; Webb M.J. ; Yoshimori M. ; Yokohata T.
刊名: Climate Dynamics
ISSN: 9307575
出版年: 2015
卷: 44, 期: 2017-07-08 起始页码: 2301
结束页码: 2325
语种: 英语
英文摘要: This study seeks to explain the effects of cloud on changes in atmospheric radiative absorption that largely balance changes in global mean precipitation under climate change. The partial radiative perturbations (PRPs) due to changes in cloud and due to the effects of the pre-existing climatological cloud distribution on non-cloud changes, known as “cloud masking”, are calculated when atmospheric CO2 concentration is doubled for the HadSM3 and MIROC models and for a large ensemble of parameter perturbed models based on HadSM3. Because the effect of cloud on changes in atmospheric shortwave absorption is almost negligible, longwave fluxes are analysed alone. We find that the net effects of cloud masking and cloud PRP on atmospheric absorption are both substantial. For the tropics, our results are reviewed in light of hypotheses put forward to explain cloud and radiative flux changes. We find that the major effects of clouds on radiation change are linked to known physical processes that are quite consistently simulated by models. Cloud top height changes are quite well described by the fixed anvil temperature hypothesis of Hartmann and Larson; cloud base heights change little, remaining near the same pressure. Changes in cloud geographical location and cloud amount are significant, but play a smaller role in driving radiative flux changes. Finally, because clouds are a large source of modelling uncertainty, we consider whether resolving errors in cloud simulation could reconcile modelled global mean precipitation trends of about 1–3 %(Formula Presented.) with some estimates of observed trends of 7 %(Formula Presented.) or more. This would require the radiative effect of clouds to change from one that increases atmospheric radiative absorption by about (Formula Presented.) to one that decreases it by (Formula Presented.). Based on our results, this seems difficult to achieve within our current rationale for the tropics at least. © 2014, Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg. Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/54163
Appears in Collections: 过去全球变化的重建
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作者单位: College of Engineering, Mathematics and Physical Sciences, University of Exeter, Harrison Building, North Park Road, Exeter, United Kingdom; Met Office Hadley Centre, Fitzroy Road, Exeter, United Kingdom; Atmosphere and Ocean Research Institute, The University of Tokyo, 5-1-5, Kashiwanoha, Kashiwa, Chiba, Japan; National Institute for Environmental Studies, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan; Hokkaido University, Kita-10, Nishi-5, Kita-ku, Sapporo, Japan
Recommended Citation:
Lambert F.H.,Webb M.J.,Yoshimori M.,et al. The cloud radiative effect on the atmospheric energy budget and global mean precipitation[J]. Climate Dynamics,2015-01-01,44(2017-07-08)