DOI: 10.1007/s00382-013-1699-7
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-84886717130
论文题名: Atmospheric blocking and its relation to jet changes in a future climate
作者: de Vries H. ; Woollings T. ; Anstey J. ; Haarsma R.J. ; Hazeleger W.
刊名: Climate Dynamics
ISSN: 9307575
出版年: 2013
卷: 41, 期: 2017-09-10 起始页码: 2643
结束页码: 2654
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Atmospheric blocking
; Climate change
; Jet strength
英文摘要: The future changes of atmospheric blocking over the Euro-Atlantic sector, diagnosed from an ensemble of 17 global-climate simulations obtained with the ECHAM5/MPI-OM model, are shown to be largely explainable from the change of the 500 hPa mean zonal circulation and its variance. The reduction of the blocking frequency over the Atlantic and the increased frequency of easterly upper-level flow poleward of 60°N are well explained by the changes of mean zonal circulation. In winter and autumn an additional downstream shift of the frequency maximum is simulated. This is also seen in a subset of the CMIP5 models with RCP8.5. To explain this downstream shift requires the inclusion of the changing variance. It is suggested that the increased downstream variance is caused by the stronger, more eastward extending future jet, which promotes Rossby wave breaking and blocking to occur further downstream. The same relation between jet-strength and central-blocking longitude is found in the variability of the current climate. © 2013 Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg. Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/54746
Appears in Collections: 过去全球变化的重建
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作者单位: Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute KNMI, 201, 3730 AE De Bilt, Netherlands; Department of Meteorology, University of Reading, Earley Gate, Reading, RG6 6BB, United Kingdom; Department of Physics, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom
Recommended Citation:
de Vries H.,Woollings T.,Anstey J.,et al. Atmospheric blocking and its relation to jet changes in a future climate[J]. Climate Dynamics,2013-01-01,41(2017-09-10)