DOI: 10.1007/s00382-012-1451-8
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-84874947345
论文题名: Relationship between wind power production and North Atlantic atmospheric circulation over the northeastern Iberian Peninsula
作者: García-Bustamante E. ; González-Rouco J.F. ; Navarro J. ; Xoplaki E. ; Luterbacher J. ; Jiménez P.A. ; Montávez J.P. ; Hidalgo A. ; Lucio-Eceiza E.E.
刊名: Climate Dynamics
ISSN: 9307575
出版年: 2013
卷: 40, 期: 2017-03-04 起始页码: 935
结束页码: 949
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Iberian Peninsula
; Linearity
; Long-term variability
; Methodological sensitivity
; Statistical downscaling
; Wind
; Wind power
英文摘要: The wind power generated during winter months 1999-2003 at several wind farms in the northeastern Iberian Peninsula is investigated through the application of a statistical downscaling. This allows for an improved understanding of the wind power variability and its relationship to the large scale atmospheric circulation. It is found that 97 % of the variability of this non-climatic variable is connected to changes in the atmospheric circulation. The methodological uncertainty associated with multiple configurations of the statistical downscaling method replicates well the observed variability of the wind power, an indication of the robustness of the methodology to changes in the model set up. In addition, the use of the statistical model is extended out of the observational period providing an estimation of the long-term variability of wind power throughout the twentieth century. The extended wind power reconstruction shows large inter-annual and multidecadal variability. Alternative approaches to calibrate the empirical downscaling model using actual wind power observations have also been investigated. They involve the estimation of wind power changes from downscaled wind values and make use of several transfer functions based on the linearity between wind and wind energy. The performance of the latter approaches is similar to the direct downscaling of wind power and may allow wind power production estimations even in the absence of historical wind turbine records. These results can be of great interest for deriving medium/long term impact-oriented energy assessments, especially when wind power observations are missing as well as in the context of climate change scenarios. © 2012 Springer-Verlag. Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/54942
Appears in Collections: 过去全球变化的重建
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作者单位: Climatology, Climate Dynamics and Climate Change, Department of Geography, Justus-Liebig University of Giessen, Senckenbergstrasse 1, 35390 Giessen, Germany; Departamento de Astrofísica y CC. de la Atmósfera, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Madrid, Spain; Departamento de Energías Renovables, CIEMAT, Avenida Complutense s/n, 28040 Madrid, Spain; Departamento de Física, Universidad de Murcia, Murcia, Spain
Recommended Citation:
García-Bustamante E.,González-Rouco J.F.,Navarro J.,et al. Relationship between wind power production and North Atlantic atmospheric circulation over the northeastern Iberian Peninsula[J]. Climate Dynamics,2013-01-01,40(2017-03-04)