globalchange  > 过去全球变化的重建
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-012-1291-6
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-84867095445
论文题名:
A multi-data set comparison of the vertical structure of temperature variability and change over the Arctic during the past 100 years
作者: Brönnimann S.; Grant A.N.; Compo G.P.; Ewen T.; Griesser T.; Fischer A.M.; Schraner M.; Stickler A.
刊名: Climate Dynamics
ISSN: 9307575
出版年: 2012
卷: 39, 期:2017-07-08
起始页码: 1577
结束页码: 1598
语种: 英语
英文摘要: We compare the daily, interannual, and decadal variability and trends in the thermal structure of the Arctic troposphere using eight observation-based, vertically resolved data sets, four of which have data prior to 1948. Comparisons on the daily scale between historical reanalysis data and historical upper-air observations were performed for Svalbard for the cold winters 1911/1912 and 1988/1989, the warm winters 1944/1945 and 2005/2006, and the International Geophysical Year 1957/1958. Excellent agreement is found at mid-tropospheric levels. Near the ground and at the tropopause level, however, systematic differences are identified. On the interannual time scale, the correlations between all data sets are high, but there are systematic biases in terms of absolute values as well as discrepancies in the magnitude of the variability. The causes of these differences are discussed. While none of the data sets individually may be suitable for trend analysis, consistent features can be identified from analyzing all data sets together. To illustrate this, we examine trends and 20-year averages for those regions and seasons that exhibit large sea-ice changes and have enough data for comparison. In the summertime Pacific Arctic and the autumn eastern Canadian Arctic, the lower tropospheric temperature anomalies for the recent two decades are higher than in any previous 20-year period. In contrast, mid-tropospheric temperatures of the European Arctic in the wintertime of the 1920s and 1930s may have reached values as high as those of the late 20th and early 21st centuries. © 2012 Springer-Verlag.
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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/55146
Appears in Collections:过去全球变化的重建

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作者单位: Oeschger Centre for Climate Change Research and Institute of Geography, University of Bern, Hallerstr. 12, 3012 Bern, Switzerland; Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science, ETH Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland; Climate Diagnostics Center, CIRES, University of Colorado, Boulder, CO, United States; Physical Sciences Division, Earth System Research Laboratory, NOAA, Boulder, CO, United States; Department of Geography, University of Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland; Federal Office of Meteorology and Climatology MeteoSwiss, Zurich, Switzerland; Swiss National Supercomputing Centre CSCS, Manno, Switzerland

Recommended Citation:
Brönnimann S.,Grant A.N.,Compo G.P.,et al. A multi-data set comparison of the vertical structure of temperature variability and change over the Arctic during the past 100 years[J]. Climate Dynamics,2012-01-01,39(2017-07-08)
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