DOI: 10.1016/j.accre.2017.03.007
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-85020200925
论文题名: Climate change and water resources: Case study of Eastern Monsoon Region of China
作者: Xia J. ; Duan Q.-Y. ; Luo Y. ; Xie Z.-H. ; Liu Z.-Y. ; Mo X.-G.
刊名: Advances in Climate Change Research
ISSN: 16749278
出版年: 2017
卷: 8, 期: 2 起始页码: 63
结束页码: 67
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Adaptation
; Climate change
; Vulnerability
; Water cycle
; Water resources
英文摘要: This paper addresses the impact of climate change on the water cycle and resource changes in the Eastern Monsoon Region of China (EMRC). It also represents a summary of the achievements made by the National Key Basic Research and Development Program (2010CB428400), where the major research focuses are detection and attribution, extreme floods and droughts, and adaptation of water resources management. Preliminary conclusions can be summarized into four points: 1) Water cycling and water resource changes in the EMRC are rather complicated as the region is impacted by natural changes relating to the strong monsoon influence and also by climate change impacts caused by CO2 emissions due to anthropogenic forcing; 2) the rate of natural variability contributing to the influence on precipitation accounts for about 70%, and the rate from anthropogenic forcing accounts for 30% on average in the EMRC. However, with future scenarios of increasing CO2 emissions, the contribution rate from anthropogenic forcing will increase and water resources management will experience greater issues related to the climate change impact; 3) Extreme floods and droughts in the EMRC will be an increasing trend, based on IPCC-AR5 scenarios; 4) Along with rising temperatures of 1 °C in North China, the agricultural water consumption will increase to about 4% of total water consumption. Therefore, climate change is making a significant impact and will be a risk to the EMRC, which covers almost all of the eight major river basins, such as the Yangtze River, Yellow River, Huaihe River, Haihe River, and Pearl River, and to the South-to-North Water Diversion Project (middle line). To ensure water security, it is urgently necessary to take adaptive countermeasures and reduce the vulnerability of water resources and associated risks. © 2017 National Climate Center (China Meteorological Administration) 资助项目: National Natural Science Foundation of China
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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/58807
Appears in Collections: 气候变化与战略
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作者单位: State Key Laboratory of Water Resources & Hydropower Engineering Sciences, Wuhan University, Wuhan, China; Institute of Global Change and Earth System Science, Beijing Normal University, Beijing, China; The Center for Earth System Science at Tsinghua University, Beijing, China; Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China; Water Resources Information Center, Beijing, China; Institute of Geographical Sciences and Natural Resource Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China
Recommended Citation:
Xia J.,Duan Q.-Y.,Luo Y.,et al. Climate change and water resources: Case study of Eastern Monsoon Region of China[J]. Advances in Climate Change Research,2017-01-01,8(2)