globalchange  > 过去全球变化的重建
DOI: 10.1016/j.quascirev.2017.07.001
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-85022028998
论文题名:
Quantifying the effects of land use and climate on Holocene vegetation in Europe
作者: Marquer L.; Gaillard M.-J.; Sugita S.; Poska A.; Trondman A.-K.; Mazier F.; Nielsen A.B.; Fyfe R.M.; Jönsson A.M.; Smith B.; Kaplan J.O.; Alenius T.; Birks H.J.B.; Bjune A.E.; Christiansen J.; Dodson J.; Edwards K.J.; Giesecke T.; Herzschuh U.; Kangur M.; Koff T.; Latałowa M.; Lechterbeck J.; Olofsson J.; Seppä H.
刊名: Quaternary Science Reviews
ISSN: 2773791
出版年: 2017
卷: 171
起始页码: 20
结束页码: 37
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Climate ; Europe ; Holocene ; Human impact ; Land use ; LPJ-GUESS ; Pollen ; REVEALS ; Vegetation composition
Scopus关键词: Agriculture ; Forestry ; Land use ; Plants (botany) ; Population statistics ; Vegetation ; Climate ; Europe ; Holocenes ; Human impact ; LPJ-GUESS ; Pollen ; REVEALS ; Vegetation composition ; Climate change
英文摘要: Early agriculture can be detected in palaeovegetation records, but quantification of the relative importance of climate and land use in influencing regional vegetation composition since the onset of agriculture is a topic that is rarely addressed. We present a novel approach that combines pollen-based REVEALS estimates of plant cover with climate, anthropogenic land-cover and dynamic vegetation modelling results. This is used to quantify the relative impacts of land use and climate on Holocene vegetation at a sub-continental scale, i.e. northern and western Europe north of the Alps. We use redundancy analysis and variation partitioning to quantify the percentage of variation in vegetation composition explained by the climate and land-use variables, and Monte Carlo permutation tests to assess the statistical significance of each variable. We further use a similarity index to combine pollen-based REVEALS estimates with climate-driven dynamic vegetation modelling results. The overall results indicate that climate is the major driver of vegetation when the Holocene is considered as a whole and at the sub-continental scale, although land use is important regionally. Four critical phases of land-use effects on vegetation are identified. The first phase (from 7000 to 6500 BP) corresponds to the early impacts on vegetation of farming and Neolithic forest clearance and to the dominance of climate as a driver of vegetation change. During the second phase (from 4500 to 4000 BP), land use becomes a major control of vegetation. Climate is still the principal driver, although its influence decreases gradually. The third phase (from 2000 to 1500 BP) is characterised by the continued role of climate on vegetation as a consequence of late-Holocene climate shifts and specific climate events that influence vegetation as well as land use. The last phase (from 500 to 350 BP) shows an acceleration of vegetation changes, in particular during the last century, caused by new farming practices and forestry in response to population growth and industrialization. This is a unique signature of anthropogenic impact within the Holocene but European vegetation remains climatically sensitive and thus may continue to respond to ongoing climate change. © 2017 Elsevier Ltd
资助项目: This work is part of the LANDCLIM (LAND cover –CLIMate interactions in NW Europe during the Holocene) project (supported by the Swedish Research Council VR) and research network (supported by the Nordic Council of Ministers NordForsk) (2009–2011 and supported later by MERGE, see below) coordinated by M.J. Gaillard. It is also a contribution to the Strategic Research Area MERGE (ModElling the Regional and Global Earth system ; http://www.merge.lu.se), the Swedish Research Programme on Climate, Impacts and Adaptation (Mistra-SWECIA ; http://www.mistra-swecia.se/en), the Linnaeus Centre of Excellence LUCCI, the PAGES LandCover6k working group (http://www.pastglobalchanges.org/ini/wg/landcover6k/intro) coordinated by M.J. Gaillard, and the Crafoord Foundation research project ‘Long term impact of changes in climate and land use on forest tree species composition in south Sweden’ coordinated by A.M. Jönsson and L. Marquer. J.O. Kaplan was supported by the European Research Council (COEVOLVE, 313797). We thank all members of the LANDCLIM network for data contributions and constructive discussions and the reviewers and the editor for helpful and insightful comments.
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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/59125
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作者单位: Department of Physical Geography and Ecosystem Science, Lund University, Sweden; Department of Biology and Environmental Science, Linnaeus University, Sweden; Institute of Ecology, Tallinn University, Estonia; Institute of Geology, Tallinn University of Technology, Estonia; GEODE, UMR-CNRS 5602, Université Toulouse Jean Jaurès, France; Department of Geology, Lund University, Sweden; School of Geography, Earth and Environmental Sciences, University of Plymouth, United Kingdom; ARVE, Ecole Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne, Switzerland; Department of Philosophy, History, Culture and Art Studies, University of Helsinki, Finland; Department of Archaeology, University of Turku, Finland; Department of Biology and Bjerknes Centre for Climate Research, University of Bergen, Norway; Environmental Change Research Centre, University College London, United Kingdom; Uni Research Climate, Bergen, Norway; Department of Palynology and Climate Dynamics, Albrecht-von-Haller-Institute for Plant Sciences, University of Göttingen, Germany; School of Earth and Environmental Sciences, University of Wollongong, Wollongong, Australia; State Key Laboratory of Loess and Quaternary Geology, Institute of Earth Environment, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Xi'an, Shaanxi, China; Departments of Geography & Environment and Archaeology, School of Geosciences, University of Aberdeen, United Kingdom; Clare Hall, University of Cambridge, United Kingdom; Alfred-Wegener-Institut Potsdam and Institut für Geowissenschaften, Universität Potsdam, Germany; Laboratory of Palaeoecology and Archaebotany, Department of Plant Ecology, University of Gdańsk, Poland; Arkeologisk Museum, Universitetet i Stavanger, Stavanger, Norway; Department of Geosciences and Geography, University of Helsinki, Finland

Recommended Citation:
Marquer L.,Gaillard M.-J.,Sugita S.,et al. Quantifying the effects of land use and climate on Holocene vegetation in Europe[J]. Quaternary Science Reviews,2017-01-01,171
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