DOI: 10.1111/gcb.12725
论文题名: Anticipative management for coral reef ecosystem services in the 21st century
作者: Rogers A. ; Harborne A.R. ; Brown C.J. ; Bozec Y.-M. ; Castro C. ; Chollett I. ; Hock K. ; Knowland C.A. ; Marshell A. ; Ortiz J.C. ; Razak T. ; Roff G. ; Samper-Villarreal J. ; Saunders M.I. ; Wolff N.H. ; Mumby P.J.
刊名: Global Change Biology
ISSN: 13541013
出版年: 2015
卷: 21, 期: 2 起始页码: 504
结束页码: 514
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Coral reefs
; Degraded ecosystems
; Ecosystem function
; Ecosystem services
; Habitat complexity
; Marine reserve
Scopus关键词: climate change
; climate effect
; coral reef
; ecosystem function
; ecosystem management
; ecosystem service
; environmental degradation
; marine park
; twenty first century
; Anthozoa
; coral reef
; ecology
; economics
; environmental protection
; procedures
; Conservation of Natural Resources
; Coral Reefs
; Ecology
英文摘要: Under projections of global climate change and other stressors, significant changes in the ecology, structure and function of coral reefs are predicted. Current management strategies tend to look to the past to set goals, focusing on halting declines and restoring baseline conditions. Here, we explore a complementary approach to decision making that is based on the anticipation of future changes in ecosystem state, function and services. Reviewing the existing literature and utilizing a scenario planning approach, we explore how the structure of coral reef communities might change in the future in response to global climate change and overfishing. We incorporate uncertainties in our predictions by considering heterogeneity in reef types in relation to structural complexity and primary productivity. We examine 14 ecosystem services provided by reefs, and rate their sensitivity to a range of future scenarios and management options. Our predictions suggest that the efficacy of management is highly dependent on biophysical characteristics and reef state. Reserves are currently widely used and are predicted to remain effective for reefs with high structural complexity. However, when complexity is lost, maximizing service provision requires a broader portfolio of management approaches, including the provision of artificial complexity, coral restoration, fish aggregation devices and herbivore management. Increased use of such management tools will require capacity building and technique refinement and we therefore conclude that diversification of our management toolbox should be considered urgently to prepare for the challenges of managing reefs into the 21st century. © 2014 John Wiley & Sons Ltd. Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/61880
Appears in Collections: 影响、适应和脆弱性
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作者单位: Australian Research Council Centre of Excellence for Coral Reef Studies, Marine Spatial Ecology Laboratory, School of Biological Sciences, The University of Queensland, St. Lucia Campus, Brisbane, QLD, Australia; Marine Spatial Ecology Laboratory, Biosciences, College of Life and Environmental Sciences, University of Exeter, Geoffrey Pope Building, Stocker Road, Exeter, United Kingdom; The Global Change Institute, The University of Queensland, St. Lucia Campus, Brisbane, QLD, Australia
Recommended Citation:
Rogers A.,Harborne A.R.,Brown C.J.,et al. Anticipative management for coral reef ecosystem services in the 21st century[J]. Global Change Biology,2015-01-01,21(2)