globalchange  > 影响、适应和脆弱性
DOI: 10.1111/gcb.12604
论文题名:
Douglas-fir plantations in Europe: A retrospective test of assisted migration to address climate change
作者: Isaac-Renton M.G.; Roberts D.R.; Hamann A.; Spiecker H.
刊名: Global Change Biology
ISSN: 13541013
出版年: 2014
卷: 20, 期:8
起始页码: 2607
结束页码: 2617
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Bioclimatic envelope models ; Exotic species ; Model validation ; No-analogue climates ; Provenance trials ; Pseudotsuga menziesii ; Species distribution models
Scopus关键词: bioclimatology ; climate change ; community response ; growth response ; model test ; model validation ; plantation ; provenance ; species diversity ; Central Europe ; Western Europe ; climate ; climate change ; Douglas fir ; Europe ; forestry ; growth, development and aging ; North America ; reproducibility ; theoretical model ; Climate ; Climate Change ; Europe ; Forestry ; Models, Theoretical ; North America ; Pseudotsuga ; Reproducibility of Results
英文摘要: We evaluate genetic test plantations of North American Douglas-fir provenances in Europe to quantify how tree populations respond when subjected to climate regime shifts, and we examined whether bioclimate envelope models developed for North America to guide assisted migration under climate change can retrospectively predict the success of these provenance transfers to Europe. The meta-analysis is based on long-term growth data of 2800 provenances transferred to 120 European test sites. The model was generally well suited to predict the best performing provenances along north-south gradients in Western Europe, but failed to predict superior performance of coastal North American populations under continental climate conditions in Eastern Europe. However, model projections appear appropriate when considering additional information regarding adaptation of Douglas-fir provenances to withstand frost and drought, even though the model partially fails in a validation against growth traits alone. We conclude by applying the partially validated model to climate change scenarios for Europe, demonstrating that climate trends observed over the last three decades warrant changes to current use of Douglas-fir provenances in plantation forestry throughout Western and Central Europe. © 2014 John Wiley & Sons Ltd.
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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/62084
Appears in Collections:影响、适应和脆弱性

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作者单位: Department of Renewable Resources, Faculty of Agricultural, Life, and Environmental Sciences, University of Alberta, 751 General Services Building, Edmonton, AB, T6G 2H1, Canada; Professur für Waldwachstum, Fakultät für Umwelt und Natürliche Ressourcen, Albert-Ludwigs-Universität Freiburg, Tennenbacherstrasse 4, Freiburg, 79106, Germany

Recommended Citation:
Isaac-Renton M.G.,Roberts D.R.,Hamann A.,et al. Douglas-fir plantations in Europe: A retrospective test of assisted migration to address climate change[J]. Global Change Biology,2014-01-01,20(8)
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