globalchange  > 影响、适应和脆弱性
DOI: 10.1002/jgrd.50615
论文题名:
Instrumental temperature series in eastern and central China back to the nineteenth century
作者: Cao L.; Zhao P.; Yan Z.; Jones P.; Zhu Y.; Yu Y.; Tang G.
刊名: Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres
ISSN: 21698996
出版年: 2013
卷: 118, 期:15
起始页码: 8197
结束页码: 8207
语种: 英语
英文关键词: China ; in recent 100 years ; instrumental temperature series
Scopus关键词: Quality control ; Time series ; China ; Cross validation ; Mean temperature series ; Missing values ; Southeastern china ; Station network ; Surface air temperatures ; Temperature series ; Interpolation ; air temperature ; data set ; homogeneity ; instrumentation ; nineteenth century ; quality control ; China
英文摘要: In this study, we bring together different source data sets and use quality control, interpolation, and homogeneity methods to construct a set of homogenized monthly mean surface air temperature (SAT) series for 18 stations in eastern and central China from the late nineteenth century. Missing values are statistically interpolated, and cross validation is used to assess the accuracy of the interpolation approaches. Results show that the errors of interpolation are small, and the interpolated values are statistically acceptable. Multiple homogeneity methods and all available metadata are used to assess the consistency of the time series and then to develop adjustments when necessary. Thirty-three homogeneity breakpoints are detected in the 18 stations, and the time series is adjusted to the latest segment of the data series. The adjusted annual mean SAT generally shows a range of trends of 1.0° to 4.2°C/100 years in northeastern and southeastern China and a range of trends of -0.3° to 1.0°C/100 years in central China near 30°N. Compared to the adjusted time series, the unadjusted time series underestimates the warming trend during the past 100 years. The regional and annual mean SAT over eastern and central China agrees well with estimates from a much denser station network over this region of China since 1951 and shows a warming trend of 1.52°C/100 years during 1909-2010. Key Points Construct monthly mean temperature series in China in 100 years Quality control, interpolation, and homogeneity methods are used Constructed series agrees with estimates from a denser station network ©2013. American Geophysical Union. All Rights Reserved.
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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/63497
Appears in Collections:影响、适应和脆弱性
气候减缓与适应

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作者单位: National Meteorological Information Center, Beijing, China; State Key Laboratory of Severe Weather, Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, No. 46 Zhongguancun South St., Haidian District, Beijing 100081, China; Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China; Climatic Research Unit, School of Environmental Sciences, University of East Anglia, Norwich, United Kingdom; Center of Excellence for Climate Change Research, Department of Meteorology, King Abdulaziz University, Jeddah, Saudi Arabia

Recommended Citation:
Cao L.,Zhao P.,Yan Z.,et al. Instrumental temperature series in eastern and central China back to the nineteenth century[J]. Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres,2013-01-01,118(15)
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