DOI: 10.1002/jgrd.50410
论文题名: Precipitation intensity and variation during MC3E: A numerical modeling study
作者: Tao W.-K. ; Wu D. ; Matsui T. ; Peters-Lidard C. ; Lang S. ; Hou A. ; Rienecker M. ; Petersen W. ; Jensen M.
刊名: Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres
ISSN: 21698996
出版年: 2013
卷: 118, 期: 13 起始页码: 7199
结束页码: 7218
语种: 英语
英文关键词: diurnal variation
; numerical modeling
; precipitation
Scopus关键词: Computer simulation
; Forecasting
; Lakes
; Landforms
; Numerical models
; Precipitation (chemical)
; Storms
; Surface measurement
; Appalachian mountains
; Diurnal precipitation
; Diurnal variation
; High-resolution models
; Mesoscale Convective System
; Precipitation intensity
; Rainfall diurnal variation
; Short-term simulation
; Rain
; convective cloud
; diurnal variation
; forecasting method
; numerical model
; precipitation assessment
; precipitation intensity
; radiation balance
; terrain
; California
; Mississippi Valley
; Ohio Valley [California]
; Rocky Mountains
; United States
英文摘要: Previous observational studies have identified three different types of diurnal precipitation variation over the conterminous U.S.: localized afternoon rainfall maxima over the Mississippi and Ohio valleys, propagating mesoscale convective systems (MCSs) from the Rocky Mountain region, and propagating MCSs over the Appalachian Mountains. This study focuses on the second type, which involves nocturnal rainfall maxima from eastward-propagating MCSs on the lee side of the Rocky Mountains. This study evaluates model simulations with regard to rainfall using observations and assesses the impact of microphysics, surface fluxes, radiation, and terrain on the simulated diurnal rainfall variation. A regional high-resolution model was used to conduct a series of real-time forecasts during the Midlatitude Continental Convective Clouds Experiment (MC3E) in 2011 over the Southern Great Plains. The model ably captured most heavy precipitation events. When all forecast days are composited, the mean forecast depicts accurate, propagating precipitation features and thus the overall diurnal variation. However, individual forecasts tend to overestimate the rainfall for light precipitation events, have location errors, and misrepresent convection in some cases. A post mission case study is performed on one multi-cell, eastward-propagating MCS event; the results suggest that cold-pool dynamics were an important physical process. Model results also indicate that terrain effects are important during the initial stages of MCS development. By increasing the terrain height by 10%, the simulated rainfall is increased and in better agreement with observations. On the other hand, surface fluxes, and radiation processes only have a secondary effect for short-term simulations. Key Points Model has captured rainfall diurnal variation feature during MC3E Cold-pool dynamics is important in reproducing propagating MCSs Compared with terrain, surface fluxes and radiation have a secondary effect ©2013. American Geophysical Union. All Rights Reserved. Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/63588
Appears in Collections: 影响、适应和脆弱性 气候减缓与适应
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作者单位: Mesoscale Atmospheric Processes Laboratory, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Code 612, Greenbelt, MD 20771, United States; Science Systems and Applications, Inc., Lanham, MD, United States; Earth System Science Interdisciplinary Center, University of Maryland, College Park, MD, United States; Hydrological Sciences Laboratory, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD, United States; Global Modeling and Assimilation Office, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD, United States; NASA Wallops Flight Facility, Wallops Island, VA, United States; Brookhaven National Laboratory, Upton, NY, United States
Recommended Citation:
Tao W.-K.,Wu D.,Matsui T.,et al. Precipitation intensity and variation during MC3E: A numerical modeling study[J]. Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres,2013-01-01,118(13)