DOI: 10.1002/grl.50360
论文题名: More hurricanes to hit western Europe due to global warming
作者: Haarsma R.J. ; Hazeleger W. ; Severijns C. ; De Vries H. ; Sterl A. ; Bintanja R. ; Van Oldenborgh G.J. ; Van Den Brink H.W.
刊名: Geophysical Research Letters
ISSN: 0094-9104
EISSN: 1944-8835
出版年: 2013
卷: 40, 期: 9 起始页码: 1783
结束页码: 1788
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Climate
; Global warming
; Hurricanes
Scopus关键词: Breeding grounds
; Climate
; Global climate model
; Greenhouse warming
; Model simulation
; Sea surface temperature (SST)
; Tropical cyclone
; Very high resolution
; Atmospheric temperature
; Climate models
; Computer simulation
; Global warming
; Hurricanes
; baroclinic motion
; climate effect
; climate modeling
; global climate
; global warming
; hurricane
; sea surface temperature
; seasonality
; Western Europe
英文摘要: We use a very high resolution global climate model (~25 km grid size) with prescribed sea surface temperatures to show that greenhouse warming enhances the occurrence of hurricane-force (> 32.6 m s-1) storms over western Europe during early autumn (August-October), the majority of which originate as a tropical cyclone. The rise in Atlantic tropical sea surface temperatures extends eastward the breeding ground of tropical cyclones, yielding more frequent and intense hurricanes following pathways directed toward Europe. En route they transform into extratropical depressions and reintensify after merging with the midlatitude baroclinic unstable flow. Our model simulations clearly show that future tropical cyclones are more prone to hit western Europe, and do so earlier in the season, thereby increasing the frequency and impact of hurricane force winds. Key Points Hurricanes will hit Europe in future climateStorm season will shift from winter to early autumnNew results from very high resolution global climate model ©2013. American Geophysical Union. All Rights Reserved. URL: https://www.scopus.com/inward/record.uri?eid=2-s2.0-84879086943&doi=10.1002%2fgrl.50360&partnerID=40&md5=bd182a61a9ae3f467ef4006f7d08d22d
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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/6368
Appears in Collections: 气候减缓与适应
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作者单位: Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI), P.O. Box 201, 3730 AE De Bilt, Netherlands
Recommended Citation:
Haarsma R.J.,Hazeleger W.,Severijns C.,et al. More hurricanes to hit western Europe due to global warming[J]. Geophysical Research Letters,2013-01-01,40(9).