DOI: 10.1002/jgrd.50212
论文题名: Global precipitation trends in 1900-2005 from a reconstruction and coupled model simulations
作者: Ren L. ; Arkin P. ; Smith T.M. ; Shen S.S.P.
刊名: Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres
ISSN: 21698996
出版年: 2013
卷: 118, 期: 4 起始页码: 1679
结束页码: 1689
语种: 英语
英文关键词: climate change
; CMIP5
; global precipitation trends
; historical reconstruction
Scopus关键词: Climate change
; Climate models
; Precipitation (meteorology)
; CMIP5
; Coupled Model Intercomparison Project
; Global precipitation
; Historical reconstruction
; Intergovernmental panel on climate changes
; Precipitation reconstruction
; Precipitation trends
; Spatial patterns
; Computer simulation
; climate change
; climate modeling
; global climate
; Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
; precipitation (climatology)
; reconstruction
; trend analysis
; twentieth century
; twenty first century
英文摘要: The trends of global precipitation in 1900-2005 are evaluated using a historical precipitation reconstruction and coupled model simulations, Coupled Model Intercomparison Project 5 (CMIP5) and Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 3. A significant increasing trend in the global oceanic precipitation is identified in both the reconstruction and models. The trend from the reconstructed ocean precipitation is 0.04 mm day-1 over 100a (100 years) and is about twice that of the mean of all models. Over land, the spatial patterns of the trends from both the reconstruction and the models are similar to those shown in the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Fourth Assessment Report. Over the ocean, both reconstruction and models show positive trends in the equatorial and subpolar regions and negative trends over the subtropics. However, the trend magnitude and the locations of the trend peaks are different near the equator (10°S to 10°N) between the reconstruction and the models. CMIP5 future simulations for the global mean project a continuing and stronger precipitation trend in the 21st century than the 20th century. Key Points 20th century trends in the reconstruction.20th century trends in CMIP5 and CMIP321st century trends in CMIP5 © 2013. American Geophysical Union. All Rights Reserved. Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/63927
Appears in Collections: 影响、适应和脆弱性 气候减缓与适应
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作者单位: Earth System Science Interdisciplinary Center, Cooperative Institute for Climate and Satellites, University of Maryland, 5825 University Research Court, College Park, MD 20740, United States; NOAA/NESDIS/STAR, College Park, MD, United States; San Diego State University, San Diego, CA, United States
Recommended Citation:
Ren L.,Arkin P.,Smith T.M.,et al. Global precipitation trends in 1900-2005 from a reconstruction and coupled model simulations[J]. Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres,2013-01-01,118(4)