| DOI: | 10.1002/grl.50312
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| 论文题名: | Triple check: Observations verify structural realism of an ocean ecosystem model |
| 作者: | Santora J.A.; Sydeman W.J.; Messié M.; Chai F.; Chao Y.; Thompson S.A.; Wells B.K.; Chavez F.P.
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| 刊名: | Geophysical Research Letters
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| ISSN: | 0094-9189
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| EISSN: | 1944-8920
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| 出版年: | 2013
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| 卷: | 40, 期:7 | | 起始页码: | 1367
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| 结束页码: | 1372
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| 语种: | 英语
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| 英文关键词: | ecosystem oceanography
; krill
; seabirds
; spatio-temporal ecology
; zooplankton
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| Scopus关键词: | Interannual variability
; krill
; Quantitative prediction
; Reproductive performance
; seabirds
; Spatio-temporal
; Spatio-temporal dynamics
; zooplankton
; Dynamics
; Ecosystems
; abundance
; annual variation
; biological oceanography
; crustacean
; ecosystem management
; ecosystem modeling
; marine ecosystem
; model validation
; observational method
; seabird
; spatiotemporal analysis
; zooplankton
; California
; United States
; Euphausiacea
; Thysanoessa spinifera
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| 英文摘要: | Improvements in fisheries and ecosystem management could be made if the prediction of key zooplankton, such as krill, were possible using ocean ecosystem models. To examine structural realism, hence the validity of a coupled physical-biogeochemical model, we compared measured spatiotemporal dynamics of krill and seabird abundance off California to hindcasted mesozooplankton derived from an independently designed model. Observed krill and modeled mesozooplankton (Z2) displayed latitudinal coherence but distinct longitudinal offsets, possibly related to unrealistic bathymetry in the model. Temporally, Z2, Thysanoessa spinifera (a neritic krill species) and seabird density and reproductive performance were well correlated, indicating that quantitative prediction regarding marine predators in upwelling ecosystems is within reach. Despite its basin-scale framework, the ROMS-CoSiNE model captures zooplankton and top predator dynamics regionally in the central California region, suggesting its utility for management of marine ecosystems and highlighting rapid advances that can be made through collaboration between empirical scientists and ecosystem modelers. Key Points Krill and modeled zooplankton display latitudinal spatial coherence Interannual variability of T.spinifera is correlated with modeled zooplankton Modeled zooplankton and seabird dynamics are correlated ©2013. American Geophysical Union. All Rights Reserved. |
| URL: | https://www.scopus.com/inward/record.uri?eid=2-s2.0-84876890593&doi=10.1002%2fgrl.50312&partnerID=40&md5=592244da78a14d5867b9607939b3c624
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| Citation statistics: |
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| 资源类型: | 期刊论文
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| 标识符: | http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/6453
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| Appears in Collections: | 气候减缓与适应
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作者单位: | Farallon Institute for Advanced Ecosystem Research, 101 H Street, Petaluma, CA 94952, United States
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| Recommended Citation: | |
Santora J.A.,Sydeman W.J.,Messié M.,et al. Triple check: Observations verify structural realism of an ocean ecosystem model[J]. Geophysical Research Letters,2013-01-01,40(7).
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