globalchange  > 影响、适应和脆弱性
DOI: 10.1016/j.foreco.2014.12.001
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-84919434015
论文题名:
The development of universal response functions to facilitate climate-smart regeneration of black spruce and white pine in Ontario, Canada
作者: Yang J.; Pedlar J.H.; McKenney D.W.; Weersink A.
刊名: Forest Ecology and Management
ISSN:  0378-1127
出版年: 2015
卷: 339
起始页码: 34
结束页码: 43
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Black spruce ; Climate change ; Seed deployment ; Seed procurement ; Universal response function ; White pine
Scopus关键词: Climate models ; Plants (botany) ; Population statistics ; Reforestation ; Seed ; Black spruce ; Black spruce (Picea mariana) ; Climate change impact ; Forest regeneration ; Industrial revolutions ; Mean annual temperatures ; Response functions ; White pine ; Climate change ; climate change ; coniferous tree ; forest management ; growth rate ; regeneration ; seed dispersal ; survival ; Climates ; Picea Mariana ; Pinus Monticola ; Seeds ; Canada ; Picea mariana ; Pinus strobus
英文摘要: Climate change is expected to impact forest growth and survival as tree populations experience climates to which they are not well adapted. However, forest regeneration efforts represent opportunities to introduce genetic material on the landscape that is well matched to future climates. We estimated universal response functions (URF) for two economically and ecologically important tree species in eastern Canada - black spruce (Picea mariana) and eastern white pine (Pinus strobus). The URF approach models tree growth as a function of both the planting site climate (i.e., environmental effects) and seed source climate (i.e., genetic effects), allowing the growth of any seed source to be estimated at any location. Both species exhibited a relatively weak genetic effect, suggesting modest potential for seed movements to mitigate climate change impacts. The optimal provenance for any given location was not local, but rather located in environments that were approximately 1.5. °C warmer than the planting site; this shift is consistent in both direction and magnitude with that expected due to climate warming since the start of the industrial revolution. Both species exhibited a strong environmental effect with clear evidence for a central climatic optimum. As a result, climate warming is expected to enhance black spruce growth at sites with mean annual temperature colder than approximately 4.5. °C and white pine growth at sites colder than 11. °C. Thus, Ontario white pine populations may benefit from the climate changes projected to occur in the province over the next 50-100. years. For black spruce, populations in southern and central Ontario may experience suboptimal climate conditions over the mid-to-end of the current century. Despite the relatively weak genetic effect, climate-smart seed movements could play a role in maintaining the productivity and genetic diversity of black spruce in these areas. While the URF approach has limitations, this work demonstrates its potential for informing regeneration decisions under climate change. © 2014.
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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/65560
Appears in Collections:影响、适应和脆弱性

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作者单位: Dept. of Food, Agricultural and Resource Economics, University of Guelph, Guelph, ON, Canada; Canadian Forest Service, Great Lakes Forestry Centre, 1219 Queen Street E., Sault Ste. Marie, ON, Canada

Recommended Citation:
Yang J.,Pedlar J.H.,McKenney D.W.,et al. The development of universal response functions to facilitate climate-smart regeneration of black spruce and white pine in Ontario, Canada[J]. Forest Ecology and Management,2015-01-01,339
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