globalchange  > 气候减缓与适应
DOI: 10.1002/2014GL060361
论文题名:
Increasing Mississippi river discharge throughout the 21st century influenced by changes in climate, land use, and atmospheric CO2
作者: Tao B.; Tian H.; Ren W.; Yang J.; Yang Q.; He R.; Cai W.; Lohrenz S.
刊名: Geophysical Research Letters
ISSN: 0094-9951
EISSN: 1944-9682
出版年: 2014
卷: 41, 期:14
起始页码: 4978
结束页码: 4986
语种: 英语
英文关键词: climate change ; land use ; Mississippi River ; river discharge
Scopus关键词: Climate change ; Land use ; Water resources ; Anthropogenic factors ; Factorial analysis ; Hydrological process ; Intergovernmental panel for climate changes ; Mississippi river ; Mississippi River Basin ; Mississippi River discharge ; River discharge ; Carbon dioxide ; anthropogenic effect ; carbon dioxide ; climate change ; Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change ; land use change ; nature-society relations ; precipitation (climatology) ; river discharge ; twenty first century ; water resource ; Mississippi River ; United States
英文摘要: Previous studies have demonstrated that changes in temperature and precipitation (hereafter climate change) would influence river discharge, but the relative importance of climate change, land use, and elevated atmospheric CO2 have not yet been fully investigated. A process-based projection for the Mississippi River basin suggests that river discharge would be substantially enhanced (10.7-59.8%) by the 2090s compared to the recent decade (2000s), although large discrepancies exist among different climate, atmospheric CO2, and land use change scenarios. Our factorial analyses further indicate that the combined effects of land use change and human-induced atmospheric CO2 elevation on river discharge would outweigh climate change effect under the high-emission scenario (A2) of the Intergovernmental Panel for Climate Change, while climate change would still play the dominant role under the low-emission scenario (B1). This study highlights the important role of anthropogenic factors in influencing future hydrological processes and water resources. © 2014. American Geophysical Union. All Rights Reserved.
URL: https://www.scopus.com/inward/record.uri?eid=2-s2.0-84906309165&doi=10.1002%2f2014GL060361&partnerID=40&md5=413cbcbd53d5e58d8dc6be6ade3341ba
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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/7215
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作者单位: International Center for Climate and Global Change Research, School of Forestry and Wildlife Sciences, Auburn University, Auburn, AL, United States

Recommended Citation:
Tao B.,Tian H.,Ren W.,et al. Increasing Mississippi river discharge throughout the 21st century influenced by changes in climate, land use, and atmospheric CO2[J]. Geophysical Research Letters,2014-01-01,41(14).
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