DOI: 10.1002/2014GL059234
论文题名: Attribution of extreme weather to anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions: Sensitivity to spatial and temporal scales
作者: Angélil O. ; Stone D.A. ; Tadross M. ; Tummon F. ; Wehner M. ; Knutti R.
刊名: Geophysical Research Letters
ISSN: 0094-10264
EISSN: 1944-9995
出版年: 2014
卷: 41, 期: 6 起始页码: 2150
结束页码: 2155
语种: 英语
英文关键词: attribution
; extremes
; spatial
Scopus关键词: Gas emissions
; Precipitation (meteorology)
; Anthropogenic contribution
; Anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions
; attribution
; Extreme weather events
; extremes
; spatial
; Spatial and temporal scale
; Temporal and spatial scale
; Greenhouse gases
; anthropogenic effect
; climate modeling
; emission inventory
; extreme event
; greenhouse gas
; heating
; nature-society relations
; precipitation (climatology)
; risk assessment
; spatiotemporal analysis
; Europe
; Russian Federation
英文摘要: Recent studies have examined the anthropogenic contribution to specific extreme weather events, such as the European (2003) and Russian (2010) heat waves. While these targeted studies examine the attributable risk of an event occurring over a specified temporal and spatial domain, it is unclear how effectively their attribution statements can serve as a proxy for similar events occurring at different temporal and spatial scales. Here we test the sensitivity of attribution results to the temporal and spatial scales of extreme precipitation and temperature events by applying a probabilistic event attribution framework to the output of two global climate models, each run with and without anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions. Attributable risk tends to be more sensitive to the temporal than spatial scale of the event, increasing as event duration increases. Globally, correlations between attribution statements at different spatial scales are very strong for temperature extremes and moderate for heavy precipitation extremes. © 2014. American Geophysical Union. All Rights Reserved. URL: https://www.scopus.com/inward/record.uri?eid=2-s2.0-84896550967&doi=10.1002%2f2014GL059234&partnerID=40&md5=a1319495988eace112a74bdffceb6fd4
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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/7528
Appears in Collections: 气候减缓与适应
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作者单位: Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science, ETH Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland
Recommended Citation:
Angélil O.,Stone D.A.,Tadross M.,et al. Attribution of extreme weather to anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions: Sensitivity to spatial and temporal scales[J]. Geophysical Research Letters,2014-01-01,41(6).