DOI: | 10.1002/2015MS000614
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Scopus记录号: | 2-s2.0-84971432659
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论文题名: | Idealized climate change simulations with a high-resolution physical model: HadGEM3-GC2 |
作者: | Senior C; A; , Andrews T; , Burton C; , Chadwick R; , Copsey D; , Graham T; , Hyder P; , Jackson L; , McDonald R; , Ridley J; , Ringer M; , Tsushima Y
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刊名: | Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems
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ISSN: | 19422466
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出版年: | 2016
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卷: | 8, 期:2 | 起始页码: | 813
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结束页码: | 830
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语种: | 英语
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英文关键词: | Climate models
; Feedback
; Geophysics
; Rain
; Sea ice
; Storms
; Atmospheric physics
; Climate change simulations
; Climate feedbacks
; Climate sensitivity
; HadGEM3-GC2
; Higher resolution
; Lower resolution
; Tropical rainfall
; Climate change
; climate change
; climate conditions
; climate feedback
; climate modeling
; global perspective
; longwave radiation
; resolution
; sea ice
; shortwave radiation
; signal
; software
; storm
; Arctic
; Atlantic Ocean
; Atlantic Ocean (North)
; Western Europe
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英文摘要: | Idealized climate change simulations with a new physical climate model, HadGEM3-GC2 from The Met Office Hadley Centre are presented and contrasted with the earlier MOHC model, HadGEM2-ES. The role of atmospheric resolution is also investigated. The Transient Climate Response (TCR) is 1.9 K/2.1 K at N216/N96 and Effective Climate Sensitivity (ECS) is 3.1 K/3.2 K at N216/N96. These are substantially lower than HadGEM2-ES (TCR: 2.5 K; ECS: 4.6 K) arising from a combination of changes in the size of climate feedbacks. While the change in the net cloud feedback between HadGEM3 and HadGEM2 is relatively small, there is a change in sign of its longwave and a strengthening of its shortwave components. At a global scale, there is little impact of the increase in atmospheric resolution on the future climate change signal and even at a broad regional scale, many features are robust including tropical rainfall changes, however, there are some significant exceptions. For the North Atlantic and western Europe, the tripolar pattern of winter storm changes found in most CMIP5 models is little impacted by resolution but for the most intense storms, there is a larger percentage increase in number at higher resolution than at lower resolution. Arctic sea-ice sensitivity shows a larger dependence on resolution than on atmospheric physics. © 2016. The Authors. |
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资源类型: | 期刊论文
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标识符: | http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/75904
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Appears in Collections: | 影响、适应和脆弱性 气候变化与战略
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作者单位: | Met Office Hadley Centre, Exeter, United Kingdom
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Recommended Citation: |
Senior C,A,, Andrews T,et al. Idealized climate change simulations with a high-resolution physical model: HadGEM3-GC2[J]. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems,2016-01-01,8(2)
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