DOI: 10.1002/2013MS000266
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-84904868424
论文题名: CMIP5 historical simulations (1850-2012) with GISS ModelE2
作者: Miller R ; L ; , Schmidt G ; A ; , Nazarenko L ; S ; , Tausnev N ; , Bauer S ; E ; , Delgenio A ; D ; , Kelley M ; , Lo K ; K ; , Ruedy R ; , Shindell D ; T ; , Aleinov I ; , Bauer M ; , Bleck R ; , Canuto V ; , Chen Y ; , Cheng Y ; , Clune T ; L ; , Faluvegi G ; , Hansen J ; E ; , Healy R ; J ; , Kiang N ; Y ; , Koch D ; , Lacis A ; A ; , Legrande A ; N ; , Lerner J ; , Menon S ; , Oinas V ; , Pérez García-Pando C ; , Perlwitz J ; P ; , Puma M ; J ; , Rind D ; , Romanou A ; , Russell G ; L ; , Sato M ; , Sun S ; , Tsigaridis K ; , Unger N ; , Voulgarakis A ; , Yao M ; -S ; , Zhang J
刊名: Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems
ISSN: 19422466
出版年: 2014
卷: 6, 期: 2 起始页码: 441
结束页码: 477
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Aerosols
; Atmospheric composition
; Atmospheric temperature
; Climate change
; Computer simulation
; Greenhouse gases
; NASA
; Ozone
; Sea ice
; Aerosol indirect effect
; Atmospheric general circulation models
; Deep-water formation
; Greenhouse-gas forcing
; historical era
; Historical simulation
; Ocean general circulation models
; Surface air temperatures
; Climate models
英文摘要: Observations of climate change during the CMIP5 extended historical period (1850-2012) are compared to trends simulated by six versions of the NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies ModelE2 Earth System Model. The six models are constructed from three versions of the ModelE2 atmospheric general circulation model, distinguished by their treatment of atmospheric composition and the aerosol indirect effect, combined with two ocean general circulation models, HYCOM and Russell. Forcings that perturb the model climate during the historical period are described. Five-member ensemble averages from each of the six versions of ModelE2 simulate trends of surface air temperature, atmospheric temperature, sea ice and ocean heat content that are in general agreement with observed trends, although simulated warming is slightly excessive within the past decade. Only simulations that include increasing concentrations of long-lived greenhouse gases match the warming observed during the twentieth century. Differences in twentieth-century warming among the six model versions can be attributed to differences in climate sensitivity, aerosol and ozone forcing, and heat uptake by the deep ocean. Coupled models with HYCOM export less heat to the deep ocean, associated with reduced surface warming in regions of deepwater formation, but greater warming elsewhere at high latitudes along with reduced sea ice. All ensembles show twentieth-century annular trends toward reduced surface pressure at southern high latitudes and a poleward shift of the midlatitude westerlies, consistent with observations. Key Points The model simulates many observed climate trends during the twentieth century Contrasting warming trends among different model configurations can be related to differences in climate sensitivity, aerosol and ozone forcing, and ocean heat uptake Total forcing at the end of the CMIP5 historical period is larger than forcing within the previous (CMIP3) version of the model, due to greater greenhouse gas forcing with a smaller aerosol offset © 2014. The Authors. Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/76102
Appears in Collections: 影响、适应和脆弱性 气候变化与战略
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作者单位: NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies, New York NY, United States; Department of Applied Physics and Applied Mathematics, Columbia University, New York NY, United States; Center for Climate Systems Research, Columbia University, New York NY, United States; Trinnovim LLC, New York NY, United States; NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt MD, United States; Earth Institute, Columbia University, New York NY, United States; Department of Energy, Washington, DC, United States; Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Berkeley CA, United States; Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge MA, United States; School of Forestry and Environmental Studies, Yale University, New Haven CT, United States; Department of Physics, Imperial College, London, United Kingdom; Polar Science Center, Applied Physics Laboratory, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, United States
Recommended Citation:
Miller R,L,, Schmidt G,et al. CMIP5 historical simulations (1850-2012) with GISS ModelE2[J]. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems,2014-01-01,6(2)